| |||||||||||||||||||
Candidato presidencial líder por estado o distrito, según encuestas de opinión. Este mapa solo representa datos de encuestas, no es una predicción para las elecciones. | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
▼ 183 33 36 162 44 20 60
| |||||||||||||||||||
|
2020 U.S. presidential election | |
---|---|
Attempts to overturn | |
Democratic Party | |
Republican Party | |
Third parties | |
Related races | |
| |
Esta es una lista de encuestas de opinión pública a nivel estatal que se han realizado en relación con las elecciones presidenciales de Estados Unidos de 2020. Las personas nombradas en las encuestas fueron declaradas candidatas o recibieron especulaciones de los medios sobre su posible candidatura.
Si se proporcionan varias versiones de las encuestas, se prioriza la versión entre los votantes probables, luego la de los votantes registrados y luego la de los adultos.
El siguiente gráfico muestra la diferencia entre Joe Biden y Donald Trump en cada estado clave en los agregadores de encuestas desde marzo de 2020 hasta las elecciones, con los resultados electorales para comparación.
Encuestas por estado/distrito |
Nuevo Hampshire |
Minnesota |
Wisconsin |
Michigan |
Nevada |
Pensilvania |
Distrito 2 de Nebraska |
CD-2 de Maine |
Arizona |
Florida |
Carolina del Norte |
Georgia |
Ohio |
Texas |
Iowa |
Montana |
Misuri |
Alaska |
Carolina del Sur |
Nebraska |
Kansas |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [1] | 1 de septiembre – 13 de octubre de 2020 | 27 de octubre de 2020 | 38,0% | 58,0% | 4.0% | Trump +20,0 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [2] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 37,8% | 57,4% | 4,8% | Trump +19,5 |
Promedio | 37,9% | 57,7% | 4,4% | Trump +19,8 |
Centro
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [b] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [3] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.808 (LV) | ±3,5% | 62% [c] | 36% | – | – | – |
Balanceable [4] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 330 (LV) | ± 7,9% | 55% | 38% | 7% | – | – |
Datos para el progreso [5] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.045 (LV) | ± 3% | 58% | 38% | 3% | 1% | 0% [d] |
Universidad de Auburn en Montgomery [6] | 23 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [3] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 3.363 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – |
Balanceable [7] | 23 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 266 (LV) | ±7,8% | 56% | 37% | 7% | – | – |
Información de Moore (R) [8] [A] | 11 al 14 de octubre de 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
Universidad de Auburn en Montgomery [9] | 30 de septiembre – 3 de octubre de 2020 | 1.072 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,0% | 57% | 37% | – | 6% | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [3] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.354 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [3] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 1.220 (LV) | – | 65% | 33% | – | – | 2% |
Grupo Tyson/Alianza de Energía para el Consumidor [10] [B] | 17 al 19 de agosto de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 44% | 0% | 0% [e] | 7% |
Consulta matutina [11] | 24 de julio – 2 de agosto de 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 58% | 36% | – | 2% [f] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [3] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 1.583 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Universidad de Auburn en Montgomery [12] | 2 al 9 de julio de 2020 | 567 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 5,1% | 55% | 41% | – | 4% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [3] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 649 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Investigación FM3/ Doug Jones [13] [C] | Del 14 al 18 de mayo de 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 53% | 39% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [14] | 4 al 6 de febrero de 2020 | 625 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
Inteligencia WPA [15] | 7 al 9 de enero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [g] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [16] | 6 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 43,8% | 49,4% | 6,8% | Trump +5,6 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [17] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 43,6% | 51,2% | 5,2% | Trump +7,7 |
Promedio | 43,7% | 50,3% | 6.0% | Trump +6,7 |
Centro
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [h] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [18] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 634 (LV) | ± 5% | 54% [i] | 45% | – | – | – |
Marketing Gravis [19] | 26 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 770 (LV) | ±3,5% | 52% | 43% | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [18] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 1.147 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – |
Encuesta de políticas públicas / Protejamos nuestra atención [20] [D] | 19 y 20 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (V) | ±3,5% | 50% | 45% | - | – | 5% |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [21] | 9 al 14 de octubre de 2020 | 423 (LV) | ± 5,7% | 45% | 39% | 8% | 2% [j] | 6% [k] |
Estrategias de investigación de Patinkin [22] | 30 de septiembre – 4 de octubre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 46% | – | 3% [l] | 2% |
Investigación de encuestas de Alaska [23] | 26 de septiembre – 4 de octubre de 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [18] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 563 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | 2% |
Investigación estratégica de Harstad/Alaska independiente [24] [E] | 20 al 23 de septiembre de 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 46% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [18] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 472 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | - | - | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [18] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | - | - | 2% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas (D) [25] [F] | 23 y 24 de julio de 2020 | 885 (V) | – | 50% | 44% | - | - | 6% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [26] [m] | 7 y 8 de julio de 2020 | 1.081 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | 6% |
Investigación de encuestas de Alaska [27] | 23 de junio – 7 de julio de 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [18] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 161 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | 2% |
Zogby Interactive / JZ Analytics [28] | 22 de julio – 9 de agosto de 2019 | 321 (LV) | ± 5,5% | 45% | 40% | - | - | 15% |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [29] | 22 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 48,0% | 45,8% | 6,2% | Biden +2,2 |
Política realmente clara [30] | 25 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 47,9% | 47,0% | 5,1% | Biden +0,9 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [31] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 48,7% | 46,1% | 5,2% | Biden +2,6 |
Promedio | 48,2% | 46,3% | 5,5% | Biden +1,9 |
Encuestas 2020
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [n] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos / Reuters [32] | 27 de octubre – 2 de noviembre | 610 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 47% [o] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 2% [p] | – |
47% [q] | 49% | - | - | 2% [r] | 1% | ||||
48% [s] | 50% | - | - | 2% [t] | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey / Axios [33] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre | 4.278 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 46% [u] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [34] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre | 409 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 47% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 1% |
Colegio Marista / NBC [35] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre | 717 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Balanceable [36] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre | 360 (LV) | ± 7,1% | 46% | 51% | 4% | - | – | – |
Datos para el progreso [37] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre | 1.195 (LV) | ± 2,8% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0% [v] | – |
Atlas Intel [38] | 30 y 31 de octubre | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 50,4% | 48,1% | - | - | 1,5% [en peso] | – |
Colegio Emerson [39] | 29-31 de octubre | 732 (LV) | ±3,6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% [x] | – |
Consulta matutina [40] | 22 al 31 de octubre | 1.059 (LV) | ± 3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Datos orbitales [41] | 28-30 de octubre | 550 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 45,3% | 45,9% | 3% | - | 6% [y] | 5% |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [42] | 26 al 30 de octubre | 1.253 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [z] | 5% [aa] |
Encuesta sobre el campo de batalla del Gran Cañón [43] | 25-30 de octubre | 910 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 48% | 45% | 3% | - | 4% | |
CNN /SSRS [44] | 23 al 30 de octubre | 892 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 46% | 50% | 3% | - | 1% [a partir de] | 1% |
Investigación de opinión de Pulse/ Informes Rasmussen [45] | 27-29 de octubre | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 3% [ac] | – |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [46] | 26 al 29 de octubre | 889 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Mercadeo Gravis [47] | 26-28 de octubre | 704 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Grupo Trafalgar [48] | 25 al 28 de octubre | 1.002 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 46,5% | 2,1% | - | 1,7% [publicidad] | 0,7% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [33] | 1 al 28 de octubre | 5.687 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters [49] | 21 al 27 de octubre | 714 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 47% [o] | 47% | 2% | 0% | 3% [ae] | – |
46% [q] | 48% | - | - | 3% [de] | 2% | ||||
Balanceable [50] | 23-26 de octubre | 304 (LV) | ± 7,2% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | – | – |
Proyecto de colaboración en materia de justicia [51] [G] | 22 al 25 de octubre | 874 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Perspectivas predictivas de OH [52] | 22 al 25 de octubre | 716 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 46% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [agrícola] | 1% |
Univisión / Universidad de Houston / LatinoDecisions / North Star Opinion Research [53] | 17 al 25 de octubre | 725 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 3% |
Estrategias de investigación de Patinkin/Estrategias de investigación de Patinkin/Consorcio de investigación de Arizona (D) [54] | 21 al 24 de octubre | 729 (LV) | ±3,6% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
Análisis Y2/ Salt Lake Tribune [55] | 15 al 24 de octubre | 700 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. / Centro para la grandeza estadounidense [56] [H] | 19 al 22 de octubre | 504 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 46% [ia] | 46% | 4% | - | 2% [aj] | 1% |
Ipsos / Reuters [57] | 14 al 21 de octubre | 658 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 46% [o] | 50% | 1% | - | 2% [ak] | – |
46% [q] | 49% | - | - | 3% [de] | 2% | ||||
Consulta matutina [40] | 11 al 20 de octubre | 1.066 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación de opinión de Pulse/ Informes Rasmussen [58] | 18 y 19 de octubre | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 3% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [59] | 16 al 19 de octubre | 232 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación de RMG/PoliticalIQ [60] | 14 al 19 de octubre | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 46% [o] | 47% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 5% |
44% [soy] | 49% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 5% | ||||
47% [un] | 45% | - | - | 3% [ac] | 5% | ||||
Datos orbitales [61] | 16-18 de octubre | 550 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 42% | 47% | 3% | - | 5% [a/a] | 2% |
YouGov / CBS [62] | 13 al 16 de octubre | 1.074 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3% [aprox.] | 3% |
Ipsos / Reuters [63] | 7 al 14 de octubre | 667 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 47% [o] | 49% | 1% | 0% | 2% [acuoso] | – |
46% [q] | 50% | - | - | 2% [r] | 3% | ||||
Universidad de Monmouth [64] | 11-13 de octubre | 502 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,4% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1% [ar] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44% [como] | 51% | - | - | 2% | – | |||
47% [en] | 49% | - | - | 1% | – | ||||
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [65] | 10 al 13 de octubre | 750 (LV) | – | 45% [al] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Consulta matutina [40] | 2 al 11 de octubre | 1.144 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [65] | 9 y 10 de octubre | 720 (LV) | – | 46% [al] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Grupo Trafalgar [66] | 6 al 8 de octubre | 1.087 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | 2% [ah] | 5% |
Perspectivas predictivas de OH [67] | 4 al 8 de octubre | 608 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 45% [o] | 49% | 4% | - | 0% [au] | 3% |
47% [promedio] | 50% | - | - | 0% [au] | 3% | ||||
Estrategias de Redfield y Wilton [68] | 4 al 7 de octubre | 727 (LV) | ±3,6% | 43% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aa] | 6% |
Ipsos / Reuters [69] | 29 de septiembre – 7 de octubre | 633 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [r] | 4% |
Decisiones latinas/ Demócratas por la reforma educativa [70] [I] | 28 de septiembre – 6 de octubre | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 5% |
Investigación sobre el tilo/ Foro de Acción Estadounidense [71] [J] | 3 al 5 de octubre | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Datos orbitales [72] | 3 al 5 de octubre | 550 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 43% | 48% | 3% | - | 3% [hacha] | 4% |
HighGround Inc. [73] [1] | 28 de septiembre – 5 de octubre | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 4% [día] | 5% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [74] | 2 al 4 de octubre | 296 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [75] | 1 al 3 de octubre | 655 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 41% | 49% | 3% | – | 1% [z] | 6% [aa] |
Estrategias de investigación de Patinkin/Estrategias de investigación de Patinkin/Consorcio de investigación de Arizona (D) [54] | 1 al 3 de octubre | 604 (LV) | ±3,8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Investigación de mercado de Targoz/PollSmart [76] | 23 de septiembre – 2 de octubre | 1.045 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Universidad de Suffolk [77] | 26 al 30 de septiembre | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% [agrícola] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [33] | 1 al 30 de septiembre | 7.100 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Estrategias 360/Arizona inteligente y segura [78] [K] | 24 al 29 de septiembre | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 2% [az] | 4% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Centro para la Grandeza Estadounidense [79] [H] | 25 al 28 de septiembre | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Datos para el progreso (D) [80] | 23 al 28 de septiembre | 808 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 45% [o] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
46% [promedio] | 50% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [81] | 23-26 de septiembre | 871 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aa] | 6% |
Datos para el progreso [82] [L] | 15 al 22 de septiembre | 481 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 46% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [83] | 18-20 de septiembre | 262 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC / Washington Post [84] | 15-20 de septiembre | 579 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 2% [ba] | 1% |
Datos orbitales [85] | 14 al 17 de septiembre | 550 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters [86] | 11 al 17 de septiembre | 565 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% [r] | 5% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [87] | 12 al 16 de septiembre | 855 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 42% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 1% [aa] | 8% |
Universidad de Monmouth [88] | 11 al 15 de septiembre | 420 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,8% | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 1% [bb] | 3% |
420 (LV) | 46% [a.c.] | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
47% [bd] | 47% | - | - | 3% | 3% | ||||
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [89] | 10 al 15 de septiembre | 653 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 40% | 49% | 4% | - | 1% [z] | 6% [aa] |
Estrategias de investigación de Patinkin/Estrategias de investigación de Patinkin/Consorcio de investigación de Arizona (D) [54] | 10 al 13 de septiembre | 679 (LV) | ±3,8% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
Fundación de la Familia Kaiser / Informe político de Cook [90] | 29 de agosto – 13 de septiembre | 1.298 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3% | 40% | 45% | - | - | 4% [ser] | 11% |
Marketing Gravis [91] | 10 y 11 de septiembre | 684 (LV) | ±3,8% | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov / CBS [92] | 9 al 11 de septiembre | 1.106 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 3% [aprox.] | 6% |
Perspectivas predictivas de OH [93] | 8-10 de septiembre | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Grupo de Estrategia Benenson/Grupo de Estrategia GS/ AARP [94] | 28 de agosto – 8 de septiembre | 1.600 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1% [bf] | 4% |
Consulta matutina [95] | 29 de agosto – 7 de septiembre | 901 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 46% [bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [96] | 4 al 6 de septiembre | 470 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 6% [bh] | – |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [97] | 30 de agosto – 4 de septiembre | 830 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 43% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 0% [bi] | 6% |
Noticias FOX [98] | 29 de agosto – 1 de septiembre | 772 (LV) | ±3,5% | 40% | 49% | 3% | - | 1% [bj] | 6% |
858 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 39% | 49% | 3% | - | 3% [bk] | 6% | ||
Investigación sobre el tilo/ Foro de Acción Estadounidense [99] [J] | 29-31 de agosto de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 48% [o] | 47% | 1% [bl] | 2% | – | 2% |
49% [promedio] | 48% | - | - | – | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey / Axios [33] | 1 al 31 de agosto | 6.456 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Consulta matutina [100] | 21 al 30 de agosto | 943 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [101] | 21-23 de agosto | 344 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Estrategias de Redfield y Wilton [102] | 16-18 de agosto | 856 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 38% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 3% [bm] | 10% |
Consulta matutina [100] | 7 al 16 de agosto | 947 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Colegio Emerson [103] | 8-10 de agosto | 661 (LV) | ±3,8% | 47% [ia] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [104] | 7 al 9 de agosto | 428 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Grupo Trafalgar [105] | 5 al 8 de agosto | 1.013 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 46% | 45% | 3% | - | 1% [mil millones] | 4% |
Perspectivas predictivas de OH [106] | 3 y 4 de agosto | 603 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./ Acción patrimonial [107] [M] | 2 al 4 de agosto | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Datos para el progreso [108] | 24 de julio – 2 de agosto | 1.215 (LV) | – | 43% [o] | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 10% |
44% [promedio] | 47% | - | - | – | 8% | ||||
SurveyMonkey / Axios [33] | 1 al 31 de julio | 4.995 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [109] [2] | 24-26 de julio | 365 (LV) | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Consulta matutina [110] | 17 al 26 de julio | 908 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 42% [bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Consulta matutina [110] | 16 al 25 de julio | – (LV) [bo] | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN /SSRS [111] | 18-24 de julio | 873 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,8% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4% [pb] | 2% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [112] | 19-23 de julio | 858 (LV) | – | 38% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 3% [bm] | 11% |
Noticias de la NBC / Colegio Marista [113] | 14 al 22 de julio | 826 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,1% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas / AFSCME [114] [F] | 17 y 18 de julio | 960 (vehículo recreativo) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Estrategias Spry/ Proyecto Principios Americanos [115] [N] | 11 al 16 de julio | 700 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Consulta matutina [110] | 6 al 15 de julio | – (LV) [bo] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [116] | 10-12 de julio | 345 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov / CBS [117] | 7 al 10 de julio | 1.087 (LV) | ±3,8% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 4% [bq] | 4% |
Perspectivas predictivas de OH [118] | 6 y 7 de julio | 600 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 0% [au] | 7% |
Consulta matutina [110] | 26 de junio – 5 de julio | – (LV) [bo] | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [33] | 8 al 30 de junio | 2.365 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | – | 2% |
Datos orbitales [119] | 27-29 de junio | 600 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3,3% [br] | 4,2% |
Consulta matutina [110] | 16 al 25 de junio | – (LV) [bo] | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [120] | 26 al 28 de junio | 311 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Marketing Gravis/ OANN [121] | 27 de junio | 527 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [122] | 14 al 17 de junio | 865 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 39% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2% [bs] | 13% |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [123] | 8 al 16 de junio | 650 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,3% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 4% [bt] | 8% |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [124] | 13 al 15 de junio | 1.368 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,9% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 5% [bu] | 1% |
Consulta matutina [110] | 6 al 15 de junio | – (LV) [bo] | – | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [125] | 12 al 14 de junio | 201 (LV) [al] | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | 5% [valor en libros] | – |
Consulta matutina [110] | 27 de mayo – 5 de junio | – (LV) [bo] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Noticias FOX [126] | 30 de mayo – 2 de junio | 1.002 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 6% [peso corporal] | 5% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [127] | 29–31 de mayo | 329 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 44% | - | - | 9% | 2% |
Consulta matutina [110] | 17–26 de mayo | 784 (LV) | – | 47% [bg] | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Consulta matutina [110] | 16–25 de mayo | – (LV) [bo] | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
HighGround Inc. [128] | 18–22 de mayo | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 4% [bx] | 4% [aa] |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [129] | 10 al 14 de mayo | 946 (LV) | ± 3,2% | 41% | 45% | - | - | 3% [por] | 10% |
Perspectivas predictivas de OH [130] | 9–11 de mayo | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% [agrícola] | 6% |
Consulta matutina [110] | 6 al 15 de mayo | – (LV) [bo] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Estrategias GBAO/PLUS Licencia familiar remunerada [131] | 13-16 de abril | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
Perspectivas predictivas de OH [132] | 7 y 8 de abril | 600 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Noticias de la NBC / Wall Street Journal / Colegio Marista [133] | 10 al 15 de marzo | 2,523 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
Universidad de Monmouth [134] | 11 al 14 de marzo | 847 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,4% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Univisión [135] | 6 al 11 de marzo | 1.036 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Perspectivas predictivas de OH [136] | 3 y 4 de marzo | 600 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [137] | 2 y 3 de marzo | 666 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Nexo climático [138] | 11 al 15 de febrero | 539 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,3% | 46% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Equipo McSally/ Politico [139] [O] | 22 al 24 de enero | 1.000 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 6% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [140] | 2 al 4 de enero | 760 (V) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [141] | Del 17 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 35,0% | 60,3% | 4,7% | Trump +25,3 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [142] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 36,2% | 58,9% | 4,9% | Trump +22,8 |
Promedio | 35,6% | 59,6% | 4,8% | Trump +24,0 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [bz] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [143] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.309 (LV) | ± 4% | 61% [aprox.] | 38% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [143] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 2.239 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad de Arkansas [144] | 9 al 21 de octubre de 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 65% | 32% | - | - | 3% | – |
Hendrix College / Charla sobre negocios y política [145] | 11 al 13 de octubre de 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 58% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 2% [cb] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [143] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 771 (LV) | – | 62% | 38% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [143] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 689 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [143] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 747 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [143] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | - | - | – | 2% |
Hendrix College / Charla sobre negocios y política [146] | 9 y 10 de junio de 2020 | 869 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 47% | 45% | - | - | 5% [cc] | 3% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [147] | 17 al 27 de octubre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 61,7% | 32,3% | 6.0% | Biden +29,4 |
Política realmente clara [148] | 26 de septiembre – 21 de octubre de 2020 | 27 de octubre de 2020 | 60,7% | 31,0% | 8,3% | Biden +29,7 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [149] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 61,6% | 32,4% | 6.0% | Biden +29,2 |
Promedio | 61,3% | 31,9% | 6,8% | Biden +29,4 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [cd] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [150] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 12.370 (LV) | ± 1,5% | 36% [ce] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
Investigación de David Binder [151] | 28 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 62% | – | – | 3% | 4% |
Instituto Schwarzenegger de la USC [152] | 27 al 31 de octubre de 2020 | 1.155 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3% | 28% | 65% | – | – | 4% [cf] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [150] | 30 de septiembre – 28 de octubre de 2020 | 22.450 (LV) | – | 37% [ce] | 61% | – | – | – | – |
Balanceable [153] | 23 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 5,2% | 35% | 62% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
Universidad de California en Berkeley / LA Times [154] [3] | 16 al 21 de octubre de 2020 | 5.352 (LV) | ± 2% | 29% | 65% | 1% | 0% | 0% [cg] [ch] | 3% |
Instituto de Políticas Públicas de California [155] | 9 al 18 de octubre de 2020 | 1.185 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 32% | 58% | 3% | 2% | 1% [ci] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [150] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 20.346 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
Encuesta USA [156] | 26 al 28 de septiembre de 2020 | 588 (LV) | ± 5,4% | 34% | 59% | – | – | 3% [cj] | 6% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [157] | 19-21 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.775 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | 1% | 1% | 1% [ck] | 8% |
Universidad de California en Berkeley / LA Times [158] [4] | 9 al 15 de septiembre de 2020 | 5.942 (LV) | ± 2% | 28% | 67% | 1% | 0% | 0% [cg] [ch] | 3% |
Instituto de Políticas Públicas de California [159] | 4 al 13 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.168 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 31% | 60% | 3% | 2% | 1% [ci] | 2% |
Estrategias Spry/ Frente de Liberación de la Mujer [160] [cl] | 29 de agosto – 1 de septiembre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [150] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 17.537 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
Investigación de David Binder [161] | 22 al 24 de agosto de 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 61% | – | – | 3% [cm] | 5% |
Estrategias de Redfield y Wilton [162] | 9 de agosto de 2020 | 1.904 (LV) | ± 2,3% | 25% | 61% | 1% | 1% | 2% [en inglés] | 9% |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [150] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 19.027 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
Universidad de California en Berkeley [163] [5] | 21 al 27 de julio de 2020 | 6.756 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 28% | 67% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [150] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 8.412 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Instituto de Políticas Públicas de California [164] | Del 19 al 26 de mayo de 2020 | 1.048 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 33% | 57% | – | – | 6% [co] | 3% |
Encuesta USA [165] | 18 y 19 de mayo de 2020 | 537 (LV) | ± 5,4% | 30% | 58% | – | – | 5% | 7% |
Colegio Emerson [166] | 8 al 10 de mayo de 2020 | 800 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,4% | 35% [cp] | 65% | – | – | – | – |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [167] | 28 y 29 de marzo de 2020 | 962 (vehículo recreativo) | – | 29% | 67% | – | – | – | 3% |
Atlas Intel [168] | 24 de febrero – 2 de marzo de 2020 | 1.100 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 26% | 62% | – | – | 12% | – |
YouGov [169] | 26 al 28 de febrero de 2020 | 1.507 (vehículo recreativo) | – | 31% | 59% | – | – | 4% | 4% |
CNN /SSRS [170] | 22 al 26 de febrero de 2020 | 951 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,3% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 3% [cq] | 3% |
Universidad de California en Berkeley [171] | 20 al 25 de febrero de 2020 | 5,526 (vehículo recreativo) | – | 31% | 58% | – | – | – | 11% |
Encuesta USA [172] | 13 al 16 de febrero de 2020 | 1.196 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,1% | 37% | 57% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov /Instituto Price-Schwarzenegger de la USC [173] | 1 al 15 de febrero de 2020 | 1.200 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,1% | 30% | 60% | – | – | – | 4% |
Encuesta USA [174] | 14 al 16 de enero de 2020 | 1.967 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,8% | 35% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
CNN /SSRS [175] | 4 al 8 de diciembre de 2019 | 1.011 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,4% | 36% | 56% | – | – | 3% [cq] | 5% |
Encuesta USA [176] | 20 al 22 de noviembre de 2019 | 2.039 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,4% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
Encuesta USA [177] | 15 y 16 de octubre de 2019 | 1.242 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,8% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
Colegio Emerson [178] | 13 al 16 de septiembre de 2019 | 830 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,3% | 36% | 64% | – | – | – | – |
Encuesta USA [179] | 13 al 15 de septiembre de 2019 | 1.785 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,2% | 31% | 57% | – | – | – | 11% |
Encuesta USA [180] | 1 al 5 de agosto de 2019 | 2,184 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,7% | 27% | 61% | – | – | – | 12% |
Encuesta USA [181] | 22 al 25 de marzo de 2018 | 882 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,8% | 33% | 56% | – | – | – | 11% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [182] | 15 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 52,0% | 40,6% | 7,4% | Biden +11,4 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [183] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 53,6% | 41,1% | 5,3% | Biden +12,5 |
Promedio | 52,8% | 40,8% | 6,4% | Biden +12,0 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [cr] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [184] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 2.991 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 44% [cs] | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Investigación de Keating/Asuntos públicos de Onsight/ Colorado Sun [185] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 502 (LV) [cont.] | ± 4,4% | 41% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Datos para el progreso [186] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 42% | 54% | 3% | 1% | 0% [cu] | – |
Balanceable [187] | 23 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 455 (LV) | ± 6% | 41% | 55% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
Consulta matutina [188] | 22 al 31 de octubre de 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [184] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 5,925 (LV) | – | 40% | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Consulta matutina [188] | 11 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 788 (LV) | ±3,5% | 39% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Estrategias del RBI [189] | 12 al 16 de octubre de 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 38% | 55% | 3% | 1% | 1% [cv] | 1% |
Investigación de RMG/PoliticalIQ [190] | 9 al 15 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 1% [en peso] | 3% |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [191] | 11 al 14 de octubre de 2020 | 1.013 (LV) | ±3,6% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 3% [cv] | 1% |
Investigación Keating/Asuntos públicos de OnSight/ Melanson [192] | 8 al 13 de octubre de 2020 | 519 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 39% | 54% | – | – | 3% [cx] | 4% |
Consulta matutina [188] | 2 al 11 de octubre de 2020 | 837 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 40% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov / Universidad de Colorado [193] | 5 al 9 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4,64% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 11% |
SurveyUSA / 9News / Política de Colorado [194] | 1 al 6 de octubre de 2020 | 1.021 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 5% [año] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [184] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 2.717 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Consulta matutina [195] | 29 de agosto – 7 de septiembre de 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% [checo] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/ AARP [196] | 30 de agosto – 5 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 2% [da] | 8% |
Grupo de Estrategia Global /Progreso Colorado [197] [P] | 28 de agosto – 1 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 39% | 50% | 4% | 1% | 1% [db] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [184] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 2.385 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Consulta matutina [198] [199] | 21 al 30 de agosto de 2020 | 638 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% [checo] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Consulta matutina [200] | 16 al 25 de agosto de 2020 | ~600 (nivel vitamínico) | ± 4,0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Consulta matutina [198] [199] | 7 al 16 de agosto de 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% [dc] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Consulta matutina [200] | 6 al 15 de agosto de 2020 | ~600 (nivel vitamínico) | ± 4,0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Consulta matutina [200] | 7 de julio – 5 de agosto de 2020 | ~600 (nivel vitamínico) | ± 4,0% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [184] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 2.337 (LV) | – | 40% | 58% | – | – | – | 2% |
Consulta matutina [201] | 17 al 26 de julio de 2020 | 616 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 39% [checo] | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Consulta matutina [200] | 13 al 22 de julio de 2020 | ~600 (nivel vitamínico) | ± 4,0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Encuestas de políticas públicas / AFSCME [202] [F] | 23 y 24 de julio de 2020 | 891 (V) | – | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | 5% |
Encuesta de políticas públicas / Fin de Citizens United [203] | 29 y 30 de junio de 2020 | 840 (V) | ± 3,4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [184] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 1.088 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Consulta matutina [201] | Del 17 al 26 de mayo de 2020 | 572 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | – |
Grupo de Estrategia Global (D) [204] | 7 al 11 de mayo de 2020 | 700 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,5% | 40% | 53% | – | – | – | 7% |
Investigación de Keating/Asuntos públicos de OnSight/ Melanson / Política de Colorado [205] | 1 al 3 de mayo de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 36% | 55% | – | – | 3% [cx] | 6% |
Universidad Estatal de Montana Bozeman [206] | 10 al 19 de abril de 2020 | 379 (LV) | – | 35% | 53% | – | – | 3% | 8% |
Nexo climático [207] | Del 11 al 15 de febrero de 2020 | 485 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,5% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
Colegio Emerson [208] | 16 al 19 de agosto de 2019 | 1.000 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/ AARP [209] | 29-31 de julio de 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 1% [dd] | 5% |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [210] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 58,6% | 32,4% | 9.0% | Biden +26,3 |
Centro
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [de] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [211] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 2.031 (LV) | ±3,5% | 38% [gl] | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Balanceable [212] [dg] | 23 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 6,2% | 33% | 64% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [211] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 3.782 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad del Sagrado Corazón [213] [dh] | 8 al 21 de octubre de 2020 | 1.000 (A) | ±3,02% | 26% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 20% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [211] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.415 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [211] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 1.009 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [211] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 1.360 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [211] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 32% | 65% | - | - | – | 3% |
Encuesta USA [214] | Del 19 al 24 de mayo de 2020 | 808 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,5% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 7% [de] | 8% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [215] | 30 de abril – 4 de mayo de 2020 | 945 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 3% [dj] | 7% |
Universidad del Sagrado Corazón / Hartford Courant [216] | 24 de marzo – 3 de abril de 2020 | 1.000 (A) | ± 3,0% | 34% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad del Sagrado Corazón / Hartford Courant [217] | 24 de febrero – 12 de marzo de 2020 | 1.000 (A) | ± 3,0% | 36% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad del Sagrado Corazón / Hartford Courant [218] | 16 de diciembre de 2019 – 2 de enero de 2020 | 1.000 (A) | ± 3,0% | 32% | 52% | - | - | – | 16% |
Universidad del Sagrado Corazón / Hartford Courant [219] | 17 de septiembre – 2 de octubre de 2019 | 1.000 (A) | ± 3,2% | 33% | 52% | - | - | – | 15% |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [220] | 5 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 57,5% | 35,5% | 7.0% | Biden +22,0 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [221] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 58,9% | 34,6% | 6,5% | Biden +24,3 |
Promedio | 58,2% | 35,1% | 6,8% | Biden +23,2 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [222] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 656 (LV) | ± 6% | 38% [dl] | 60% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [222] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 1.323 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [222] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 395 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | 2% |
Universidad de Delaware [223] | Del 21 al 27 de septiembre de 2020 | 847 (LV) | – | 33% | 54% | 2% | 1% | 10% [dm] |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [222] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 348 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | - | 1% |
PPP [224] | 21 y 22 de agosto de 2020 | 710 (V) | ± 3,7% | 37% | 58% | - | - | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [222] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [222] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 232 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2% |
Investigación de Gonzales [225] | 16 al 21 de enero de 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 5,0% | 40% | 56% | - | - | 4% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [226] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 90,8% | 5,8% | 3,4% | Biden +85,0 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [227] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 6% | 5% [dn] | 94% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [227] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 969 (LV) | – | 9% | 89% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [227] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 343 (LV) | – | 12% | 86% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [227] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 252 (LV) | – | 16% | 83% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [227] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 290 (LV) | – | 8% | 91% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [227] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 151 (LV) | – | 11% | 87% | – | – | – | 3% |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [228] | 24 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 48,7% | 46,0% | 5,3% | Biden +2,7 |
Política realmente clara [229] | 28 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 47,9% | 47,0% | 5,1% | Biden +0,9 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [230] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 49,1% | 46,6% | 4,3% | Biden +2,5 |
Promedio | 48,6% | 46,5% | 4,9% | Biden +2,1 |
Encuestas estatales
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ventaja de información privilegiada/ Fox 35 [231] | 1 y 2 de noviembre de 2020 [al] | 400 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Grupo Trafalgar [232] | 31 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.054 (LV) | ± 2,94% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [hacer] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [233] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 8.792 (LV) | ± 1,5% | 49% [pd] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
AYTM/ Aspiración [234] | 30 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 517 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [235] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 806 (LV) | ±3,45% | 48% | 51% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. / Centro para la grandeza estadounidense [236] [H] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | - | 2% [dq] | 3% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [237] | 28 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.657 (LV) | ± 2,4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 1% [hacer] | 9% |
Balanceable [238] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.261 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 46% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Datos para el progreso [239] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.202 (LV) | ± 2,8% | 48% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0% [dr] | – |
Ipsos / Reuters [240] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 46% [o] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [ds] | – |
46% [dt] | 50% | - | - | 2% [r] | 2% | ||||
47% [en] | 51% | - | - | 2% [vd] | – | ||||
Encuestas de Frederick/Compite en todas partes [241] [Q] | 30 y 31 de octubre de 2020 | 768 (LV) | ±3,5% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación de opinión de Pulse/ Informes de Rasmussen [242] | 29-31 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 3% [peso en seco] | – |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [243] | 27 al 31 de octubre de 2020 | 1.451 (LV) | ± 3,2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [dx] | 6% [día] |
Consulta matutina [244] | 22 al 31 de octubre de 2020 | 4.451 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Encuestas de San Petersburgo [245] | 29 y 30 de octubre de 2020 | 2.758 (LV) | ± 1,9% | 48% | 49% | 1% | - | – | 2% |
Investigación de RMG/PoliticalIQ [246] | 28 al 30 de octubre de 2020 | 1.200 (LV) | ± 2,8% | 47% [o] | 51% | - | - | 2% [vd] | 0% |
45% [dz] | 52% | - | - | 2% [vd] | 0% | ||||
48% [cada uno] | 49% | - | - | 2% [vd] | 0% | ||||
Investigación de mercado de Targoz/PollSmart [247] | 25 al 30 de octubre de 2020 | 1.027 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% [eb] | – |
Atlas Intel [248] | 28 y 29 de octubre de 2020 | 786 (LV) | ± 3% | 48,5% | 48,5% | - | - | – | 3% |
Encuesta de políticas públicas /Poder climático 2020 [249] [R] | 28 y 29 de octubre de 2020 | 941 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/ La colina [250] | 26 al 29 de octubre de 2020 | 1.148 (LV) | ± ≥3% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC / Washington Post [251] | 24 al 29 de octubre de 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 0% [ce] | 0% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [252] | 27 y 28 de octubre de 2020 | 1.587 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Grupo Trafalgar [253] | 25 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 1.088 (LV) | ± 2,89% | 50% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [hacer] | 1% |
Universidad de Monmouth [254] | 24 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 509 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,7% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% [ed.] | 2% |
509 (LV) | 45% [ee] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
46% [ef] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey / Axios [233] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 14.571 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Colegio Marista / NBC [255] | 25 al 27 de octubre de 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [256] | 23 al 27 de octubre de 2020 | 1.324 (LV) | ± 2,7% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 1% [hacer] | 11% |
Ipsos / Reuters [257] | 21 al 27 de octubre de 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 47% [o] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2% [por ejemplo] | – |
47% [dt] | 49% | - | - | 3% [eh] | 2% | ||||
Balanceable [258] | 23 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 5,4% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov /Instituto de Política de la Universidad Estatal de Florida [259] | 16 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 1.200 (LV) | ± 3,2% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
Encuestas de Wick [260] | 24 y 25 de octubre de 2020 | 1.000 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad Atlántica de Florida [261] | 24 y 25 de octubre de 2020 | 937 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. / Centro para la grandeza estadounidense [262] [H] | 23 al 25 de octubre de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 49% | 44% | 2% | - | 3% [ei] | 3% |
Univision / Universidad de Houston / LatinoDecisions / North Star Opinion Research [263] | 17 al 25 de octubre de 2020 | 743 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,56% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 3% |
Ryan Tyson (derecha) [264] | Publicado el 24 de octubre de 2020 | – (V) [ej] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | 3% [ek] | 4% |
Mercadeo Gravis [265] | 24 de octubre de 2020 | 665 (LV) | ±3,8% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
YouGov / CBS [266] | 20 al 23 de octubre de 2020 | 1.228 (LV) | ±3,6% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2% [el] | 0% |
Encuestas de San Petersburgo/ Política de Florida [267] | 21 y 22 de octubre de 2020 | 2.527 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 2% [en] | 2% |
Investigación de RMG/PoliticalIQ [268] | 20-22 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 48% [o] | 50% | - | - | 1% [es] | 1% |
46% [dz] | 52% | - | - | 1% [es] | 1% | ||||
48% [cada uno] | 46% | - | - | 1% [es] | 1% | ||||
Investigación de opinión de Pulse/ Informes de Rasmussen [269] | 20 y 21 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 50% | 46% | - | - | 3% [eo] | 3% |
Ipsos / Reuters [270] | 14 al 21 de octubre de 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 46% [o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2% [por ejemplo] | – |
46% [dt] | 50% | - | - | 1% [ep] | 3% | ||||
Datos de los ciudadanos [271] | 17 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 1.000 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [272] | 17 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 863 (LV) | ±3,5% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% [hacer] | 1% |
CNN /SSRS [273] | 15 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% [equivalente] | 1% |
Consulta matutina [244] | 11 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 4.685 (LV) | ± 1,4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [274] | 16 al 19 de octubre de 2020 | 547 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad del Norte de Florida [275] | 12 al 16 de octubre de 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1% [hacer] | 3% |
HarrisX/ La Colina [276] [6] | 12 al 15 de octubre de 2020 | 965 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos / Reuters [277] | 7 al 14 de octubre de 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 47% [o] | 50% | 0% | 0% | 2% [más] | – |
47% [dt] | 49% | - | - | 1% [ep] | 3% | ||||
Grupo Trafalgar [278] | 11 al 13 de octubre de 2020 | 1.051 (LV) | ± 2,94% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [hacer] | 2% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [65] | 10 al 13 de octubre de 2020 | 1.519 (LV) | – | 44% [al] | 50% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Encuestas de San Petersburgo/ Política de Florida [279] | 11 y 12 de octubre de 2020 | 2.215 (LV) | ± 2,1% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 1% [es] | 2% |
Colegio Emerson [280] | 10 al 12 de octubre de 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 48% [y] | 51% | - | - | 1% [hacer] | – |
Mason-Dixon [281] | 8 al 12 de octubre de 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1% [ue] | 6% |
Investigación Clearview [282] | 7 al 12 de octubre de 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4,18% | 40% [o] | 47% | - | - | 4% [ev] | 9% |
39% [ew] | 48% | - | - | 4% [ev] | 9% | ||||
41% [ex] | 46% | - | - | 4% [ev] | 9% | ||||
Consulta matutina [244] | 2 al 11 de octubre de 2020 | 4.785 (LV) | ± 1,4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [65] | 9 y 10 de octubre de 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42% [al] | 53% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Universidad Atlántica de Florida [283] | 9 y 10 de octubre de 2020 | 644 (LV) | ±3,8% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% [ah] | – |
Investigación de RMG/PoliticalIQ [284] | 4 al 8 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 46% [o] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
44% [dz] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47% [cada uno] | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Ventaja para personas con información privilegiada/Ventaja para personas con información privilegiada/Exclusiva de Hannity (R) [285] | 6 y 7 de octubre de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 49% | 46% | 1% | - | – | 10% |
YouGov / CCES [286] | 29 de septiembre – 7 de octubre de 2020 | 3.755 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters [287] | 29 de septiembre – 7 de octubre de 2020 | 678 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 1% [ep] | 5% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [288] | 4 al 6 de octubre de 2020 | 998 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% [aa] | 6% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [289] | 1 al 5 de octubre de 2020 | 1.256 (LV) | ± 2,8% | 40% | 51% | - | - | 1% [hacer] | 7% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [290] | 2 al 4 de octubre de 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad de Suffolk / USA Today [291] [7] | 1 al 4 de octubre de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 45% [o] | 45% | 2% | 0% [ey] | 2% [ez] | 6% |
46% [de] | 45% | - | - | 2% [fijo] | 7% | ||||
Universidad del Norte de Florida [292] | 1 al 4 de octubre de 2020 | 3.134 (LV) | ± 1,8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | 1% [hacer] | 3% [día] |
Universidad San Leo [293] | 27 de septiembre – 2 de octubre de 2020 | 489 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [294] | 30 de septiembre – 1 de octubre de 2020 | 710 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0% [dx] | 8% [día] |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [233] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 12.962 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cherry Communications/ Cámara de Comercio de Florida [295] | 23 al 29 de septiembre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% [al] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. / Centro para la grandeza estadounidense [296] [H] | 23 al 26 de septiembre de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 43% | 46% | 3% | - | – | 8% [día] |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [297] | 23 al 25 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.073 (LV) | ± 2,99% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aa] | 7% |
Encuestas de San Petersburgo [298] | 21 y 22 de septiembre de 2020 | 2.906 (LV) | ± 1,8% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [en] | 2% |
Datos para el progreso [299] [S] | Del 15 al 22 de septiembre de 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 43% | 46% | - | - | – | 11% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [300] | 18 al 20 de septiembre de 2020 | 702 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC / Washington Post [301] | 15 al 20 de septiembre de 2020 | 613 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 51% | 47% | - | - | 1% [fecha de vencimiento] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/ Campaña de Derechos Humanos [302] [T] | 17 al 19 de septiembre de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov / CBS [303] | Del 15 al 18 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.205 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 1% [depósito fijo] | 5% |
Ipsos / Reuters [304] | Del 11 al 17 de septiembre de 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% [r] | 4% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [305] | Del 12 al 14 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.158 (LV) | ± 2,88% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aa] | 6% |
Universidad de Monmouth [306] | Del 10 al 13 de septiembre de 2020 | 428 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,7% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% [fe] | 3% |
428 (LV) | 45% [siguiente] | 50% | - | - | 1% [fg] | 3% | |||
46% [fh] | 49% | - | - | 1% [fg] | 3% | ||||
Fundación de la Familia Kaiser / Informe político de Cook [307] | 29 de agosto – 13 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.009 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,0% | 42% | 43% | - | - | 4% [fi] | 11% |
Universidad Atlántica de Florida [308] | 11 y 12 de septiembre de 2020 | 631 (LV) | ±3,8% | 50% | 50% | - | - | 0% [fj] | – |
Encuestas de St. Pete/ Política de Florida / AARP [309] | 7 y 8 de septiembre de 2020 | 2.689 (LV) | ± 1,9% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2% [en] | 2% |
Grupo de estrategia Benenson/Grupo de estrategia GS/ AARP [310] | 30 de agosto – 8 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.600 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2% [fk] | 4% |
Consulta matutina [311] | 29 de agosto – 7 de septiembre de 2020 | 3.914 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 43% [bg] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [312] | 4 al 6 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.144 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% [fl] | – |
Colegio Marista / NBC [313] | 31 de agosto – 5 de septiembre de 2020 | 760 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Grupo Trafalgar [314] | 1 al 3 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.022 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [de la media] | 2% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [315] | 30 de agosto – 3 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.093 (LV) | ± 2,96% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aa] | 6% |
Investigación GQR (D) [316] | 26 de agosto – 3 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac [317] | 28 de agosto – 1 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.235 (LV) | ± 2,8% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1% [hacer] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [233] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 12.286 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Consulta matutina [100] | 21 al 30 de agosto de 2020 | 3.790 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Opinium / El Guardián [318] [8] | 21 al 26 de agosto de 2020 | 684 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [319] | 21 al 23 de agosto de 2020 | 1.262 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP [320] | 21 y 22 de agosto de 2020 | 671 (V) | ±3,8% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
Estrategias de Redfield y Wilton [321] | 16 de agosto de 2020 | 1.280 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 1% | - | 1% [aa] | 7% |
Consulta matutina [100] | 7 al 16 de agosto de 2020 | 3.484 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Grupo Tyson/Alianza de Energía para el Consumidor [322] [U] | 11 al 15 de agosto de 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% [fn] | 6% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [323] | 7 al 9 de agosto de 2020 | 469 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./ Acción patrimonial [324] [V] | 2 al 4 de agosto de 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [233] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 13.945 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [325] [9] | 24 al 26 de julio de 2020 | 685 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Consulta matutina [326] | 17 al 26 de julio de 2020 | 3.760 (LV) | ± 1,6% | 46% [bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Consulta matutina [326] | 16 al 25 de julio de 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN /SSRS [327] | 18 al 24 de julio de 2020 | 880 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,8% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2% [para] | 2% |
Análisis de Zogby [328] | 21-23 de julio de 2020 | 811 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
Mason-Dixon [329] | 20 al 23 de julio de 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [330] | 19-21 de julio de 2020 | 1.121 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aa] | 8% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [331] | 16 al 20 de julio de 2020 | 924 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,3% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6% [fp] | 5% |
Consulta matutina [326] | 6 al 15 de julio de 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Política de Florida /AARP Florida/Encuestas de St. Pete [332] | 13 y 14 de julio de 2020 | 3.018 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 1,8% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2% [fq] | 3% |
Mercadeo Gravis [333] | 13 de julio de 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | 4% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [334] | 10-12 de julio de 2020 | 1.128 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov / CBS [335] | 7 al 10 de julio de 2020 | 1.206 (LV) | ±3,6% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% [en] | 8% |
Consulta matutina [326] | 26 de junio – 5 de julio de 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Grupo Trafalgar [336] | 29 de junio – 2 de julio de 2020 | 1.072 (LV) | ± 2,91% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5% [fs] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [233] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 5.663 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [337] | 26 al 28 de junio de 2020 | 951 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Consulta matutina [326] | Del 16 al 25 de junio de 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Noticias de Fox [338] | 20 al 23 de junio de 2020 | 1.010 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6% [pies] | 6% |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [339] | 8 al 18 de junio de 2020 | 651 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,6% | 41% | 47% | - | - | 4% [fu] | 7% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [340] | 14 y 15 de junio de 2020 | 1.079 (LV) | ± 2,98% | 41% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1% [aa] | 11% |
Consulta matutina [326] | 6 al 15 de junio de 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [341] | 12 al 14 de junio de 2020 | 713 (LV) [al] | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 3% [valor real] | – |
Marketing Gravis/ OANN [342] | Publicado el 11 de junio de 2020 | – (V) [ej] | – | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
TIPP/Acción de Acción Política Grandeza Americana [343] [H] | 9 al 11 de junio de 2020 | 875 (LV) | – | 40% | 51% | - | - | 4% [peso bruto] | 5% |
Consulta matutina [326] | 27 de mayo – 5 de junio de 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [344] | 29 al 31 de mayo de 2020 | 1,186 (LV) [al] | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
Cisne (R) [345] | Del 18 al 30 de mayo de 2020 | 881 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 43,8% | 47% | - | - | 3,3% [cambio de divisas] | 5,9% |
Encuestas de San Petersburgo [346] | 26 y 27 de mayo de 2020 | 4.763 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 1,4% | 46,7% | 47,5% | - | - | 2,7% [año fiscal] | 3,1% |
Consulta matutina [326] | Del 17 al 26 de mayo de 2020 | 3.593 (LV) | – | 48% [bg] | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Consulta matutina [326] | Del 16 al 25 de mayo de 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Punto y aparte político [347] | Del 14 al 17 de mayo de 2020 | 2.149 (LV) | ±3,5% | 44% | 45% | 1% [fz] | <1% [ga] | 2% | 8% |
Punto y aparte político [347] | Del 14 al 17 de mayo de 2020 | 2.149 (LV) | ±3,5% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Consulta matutina [326] | Del 6 al 15 de mayo de 2020 | – (LV) [ej] | – | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [348] | Del 10 al 14 de mayo de 2020 | 1.014 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 3% [gb] | 10% |
Universidad Atlántica de Florida [349] | Del 8 al 12 de mayo de 2020 | 928 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,1% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Noticias de Fox [350] | 18 al 21 de abril de 2020 | 1.004 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [351] | 16 al 20 de abril de 2020 | 1.385 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,6% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
Encuestas de San Petersburgo [352] | 16 y 17 de abril de 2020 | 5,659 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 1,3% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
Universidad del Norte de Florida [353] | 31 de marzo – 4 de abril de 2020 | 3.244 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 1,7% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Atlas Intel [354] | 14 al 16 de marzo de 2020 | 1.100 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 45% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Univisión [355] | 6 al 12 de marzo de 2020 | 1.071 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Universidad Atlántica de Florida [356] | 5 al 7 de marzo de 2020 | 1.216 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,7% | 51% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad del Norte de Florida [292] | Febrero de 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% [día] |
Universidad San Leo [357] | 17 al 22 de febrero de 2020 | 900 (LV) | ±3,5% | 40% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
Universidad del Norte de Florida [358] | Del 10 al 18 de febrero de 2020 | 668 (vehículo recreativo) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Universidad Atlántica de Florida [359] | 9 al 12 de enero de 2020 | 1.285 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,6% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Cherry Communications/ Cámara de Comercio de Florida [360] [W] | 3 al 12 de enero de 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [361] | 11 al 16 de diciembre de 2019 | 625 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | 8% |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [362] | 13 al 26 de octubre de 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 44% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad del Norte de Florida [363] | 14 al 20 de octubre de 2019 | 643 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,8% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6% [gc] | 3% |
Universidad Atlántica de Florida [364] | 12 al 15 de septiembre de 2019 | 934 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,1% | 50,5% | 49,5% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [365] | 12 al 17 de junio de 2019 | 1.279 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,3% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
Encuestas de San Petersburgo [366] | 15 y 16 de junio de 2019 | 3.095 (LV) | ± 1,8% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Universidad Atlántica de Florida [367] | 16 al 19 de mayo de 2019 | 1.007 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Inteligencia WPA [368] | 27 al 30 de abril de 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6,9% | 48% | 44% | - | - | – | 7% |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [369] | 29 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 47,6% | 47,4% | 5.0% | Biden +0,2 |
Política realmente clara [370] | 23 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 47,2% | 48,2% | 4,6% | Trump +1.0 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [371] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 48,5% | 47,4% | 4,1% | Biden +1,2 |
Promedio | 47,8% | 47,7% | 4,6% | Biden +0,1 |
Centro
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grupo Trafalgar [372] | 31 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.041 (LV) | ± 2,96% | 50% | 45% | 3% | 1% [hacer] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [373] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3.962 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 48% [gd] | 50% | – | – | – |
Comunicaciones de referencia / WSBTV [374] | 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 50% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% |
Ventaja privilegiada/Centro para la grandeza estadounidense [375] [H] | 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 48% | 46% | 4% | – | 2% |
AYTM/ Aspiración [376] | 30 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 380 (LV) | – | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
Balanceable [377] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 438 (LV) | ± 6,2% | 44% | 54% | 2% | – | – |
Datos para el progreso [378] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.036 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 0% [ge] | – |
Atlas Intel [379] | 30 y 31 de octubre de 2020 | 679 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% | – |
Colegio Emerson [380] | 29-31 de octubre de 2020 | 749 (LV) | ±3,5% | 49% [ia] | 48% | – | 2% [ah] | – |
Consulta matutina [381] | 22 al 31 de octubre de 2020 | 1.743 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Comunicaciones de referencia / WSBTV [382] | 28 de octubre de 2020 | 750 (LV) | ±3,6% | 48% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [383] | 27 y 28 de octubre de 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 4% [gf] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [373] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 7,019 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – |
Universidad de Monmouth [384] | 23 al 27 de octubre de 2020 | 504 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 1% [gg] | 2% |
504 (LV) | 46% [gh] | 50% | – | – | – | |||
48% [IG] | 50% | – | – | – | ||||
Balanceable [385] | 23 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 6,9% | 48% | 51% | 1% | – | – |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [386] | 23 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 1.041 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 46% | 51% | – | 2% [ah] | 0% |
Encuestas de Wick [387] | 24 y 25 de octubre de 2020 | 1.000 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
YouGov / CBS [388] | 20 al 23 de octubre de 2020 | 1.090 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2% [gj] | 0% |
Universidad de Georgia / AJC [389] | 14 al 23 de octubre de 2020 | 1.145 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 4% |
Comunicaciones de referencia / WSBTV [390] | 21 de octubre de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 4% |
Datos de los ciudadanos [391] | 17 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 1.000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 2% [g] | 5% |
Consulta matutina [381] | 11 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 1.672 (LV) | ± 2,4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – |
Colegio Emerson [392] | 17 al 19 de octubre de 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 48% [ia] | 47% | – | 5% [gl] | – |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [393] | 13 al 19 de octubre de 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 2% [g] | 7% [aa] |
Opinión Insight/ Foro de Acción Estadounidense [394] [J] | 12 al 15 de octubre de 2020 | 801 (LV) | ±3,46% | 46% [ia] | 49% | – | 3% [gn] | 4% [aa] |
Garin-Hart-Yang/ Jon Ossoff [395] [X] | 11 al 14 de octubre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [396] | 8 al 12 de octubre de 2020 | 1.040 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 44% | 51% | – | 1% [hacer] | 4% |
Encuesta USA [397] | 8 al 12 de octubre de 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5,7% | 46% | 48% | – | 2% [ir] | 4% |
Datos para el progreso [398] | 8 al 11 de octubre de 2020 | 782 (LV) | ±3,5% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 1% [po] | 5% |
Consulta matutina [399] | 2 al 11 de octubre de 2020 | 1.837 (LV) | ± 2,3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [400] | 8 y 9 de octubre de 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4,3% | 46% | 47% | – | 3% [cv] | 3% |
Comunicaciones de referencia [401] | 7 de octubre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 48,6% | 46,8% | 0,7% | – | 3,9% |
YouGov / CCES [402] | 29 de septiembre – 7 de octubre de 2020 | 1.456 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
Universidad de Georgia / AJC [403] | 27 de septiembre – 6 de octubre de 2020 | 1.106 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 47% | 46% | 3% | – | 3% |
Comunicaciones de referencia / WSB [404] | 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [405] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 3.468 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [406] | 26 al 29 de septiembre de 2020 | 969 (LV) | ±3,5% | 47% | 50% | – | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/ Campaña de Derechos Humanos [407] [Y] | 24 al 27 de septiembre de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 47% | 50% | – | – | – |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [408] | 23 al 27 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.125 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 47% | 50% | – | 1% [hacer] | 2% |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [409] | 23 al 26 de septiembre de 2020 | 789 (LV) | ±3,49% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% [gq] | 8% |
YouGov / CBS [410] | 22 al 25 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.164 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 47% | 46% | – | 2% [ah] | 5% |
Universidad de Monmouth [411] | 17 al 21 de septiembre de 2020 | 402 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0% [gr] | 4% |
402 (LV) | 48% [gh] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | |||
50% [IG] | 45% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [412] | 16 al 21 de septiembre de 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 0% [g] | 8% [aa] |
Universidad de Georgia / AJC [413] | 11 al 20 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.150 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | – | 4% |
Datos para el progreso (D) [414] | 14 al 19 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 45% [contenido] | 45% | 1% | 0% [gu] | 8% |
46% [vb] | 46% | – | – | 8% | ||||
Estrategias de GBAO/Warnock para Georgia [415] [Z] | 14 al 16 de septiembre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [416] | Del 12 al 16 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,46% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1% [gq] | 6% |
Consulta matutina [417] | 29 de agosto – 7 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.486 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 48% [GW] | 46% | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/ AARP [418] | 30 de agosto – 5 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 46% | 47% | – | 1% [gx] | 6% |
Opinión Insight/ Foro de Acción Estadounidense [419] [J] | 30 de agosto – 2 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,46% | 46% [ia] | 47% | 2% | 1% [gy] | 4% |
Comunicaciones de referencia / WSB [420] | 29-31 de agosto de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 48% | 41% | 2% | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [405] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 2.772 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Consulta matutina [100] | 21 al 30 de agosto de 2020 | 1.392 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Harris X/ Matt Lieberman [421] [AA] | 20-30 de agosto de 2020 | 1.616 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,4% | 46% | 52% | – | 2% [gz] | – |
PPP / Acción de lucha justa [422] [AB] | 24 y 25 de agosto de 2020 | 782 (V) | ±3,5% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
Consulta matutina [100] | 7 al 16 de agosto de 2020 | 1.265 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
Comunicaciones de referencia [423] | 14 y 15 de agosto de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 3% |
Encuesta USA [424] | 6 al 8 de agosto de 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5,3% | 44% | 46% | – | 4% [ha] | 6% |
YouGov / CBS [425] | 28-31 de julio de 2020 | 1.109 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 45% | 46% | – | 3% [hb] | 5% |
Estrategias HIT/DFER [426] [AC] | 23 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 400 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,9% | 40% | 44% | – | 6% [hc] | 10% [aa] |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [405] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 3.745 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Universidad de Monmouth [427] | 23 al 27 de julio de 2020 | 402 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
402 (LV) | 48% [gh] | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | |||
49% [IG] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | ||||
Consulta matutina [428] | 17 al 26 de julio de 2020 | 1.337 (LV) | ± 2,7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – |
Encuestas de políticas públicas / AFSCME [429] [F] | 23 y 24 de julio de 2020 | 722 (V) | – | 45% | 46% | – | – | 9% |
Grupo Trafalgar [430] | 15 al 18 de julio de 2020 | 1.023 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 50% | 43% | 2% | 2% [alta definición] | 2% |
Estrategias Spry/ Proyecto Principios Americanos [431] [AD] | 11 al 16 de julio de 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/ Jon Ossoff [432] [X] | 9 al 15 de julio de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 10% |
Marketing Gravis/ OANN [433] | 2 de julio de 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 48% | 45% | - | – | 8% |
SurveyMonkey / Tabla [405] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 2.059 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Encuesta de políticas públicas / Fin de Citizens United [434] [AE] | 25 y 26 de junio de 2020 | 734 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,6% | 45% | 49% | - | – | 6% |
Noticias de Fox [435] | 20 al 23 de junio de 2020 | 1.013 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,0% | 45% | 47% | - | 4% [él] | 5% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [436] | 12 y 13 de junio de 2020 | 661 (V) | ± 3,4% | 46% | 48% | - | – | 6% |
Objetivo Inteligente [437] | Del 21 al 27 de mayo de 2020 | 321 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 5,5% | 44% | 40% | - | 10% [alta frecuencia] | 6% |
Consulta matutina [428] | Del 17 al 26 de mayo de 2020 | 1.396 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [438] | Del 16 al 18 de mayo de 2020 | 1.339 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,1% | 47% | 48% | - | 3% [cv] | 2% |
La Campaña del Progreso (D) [439] [10] | Del 6 al 15 de mayo de 2020 | 2.893 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | - | – | 6% [hg] |
Estrategias de BK/ Comité de liderazgo estatal republicano [440] [AF] | Del 11 al 13 de mayo de 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 48% | 46% | - | – | – |
Estrategias de opinión pública (R) [441] | 4 al 7 de mayo de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,38% | 46% | 47% | - | – | 7% [hh] |
Cygnal/ David Ralston [442] [11] [AG] | 25 al 27 de abril de 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 45% | 44% | - | 7% | 5% |
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins para el Senado [443] [AH] | 31 de marzo – 1 de abril de 2020 | 1.035 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 48% | 46% | - | – | 6% |
La campaña del progreso (D) [444] | 12 al 21 de marzo de 2020 | 3.042 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,5% | 49% | 47% | - | 4% | – |
Universidad de Georgia [445] | 24 de febrero – 2 de marzo de 2020 | 1.117 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 51% | 43% | - | 4% | 2% |
Mason-Dixon [446] | 19 al 23 de diciembre de 2019 | 625 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,0% | 51% | 44% | - | – | 5% |
Encuesta USA [447] | 15 al 18 de noviembre de 2019 | 1.303 (LV) | ± 3,2% | 43% | 47% | - | – | 10% |
Nexo climático [448] | 4 al 10 de noviembre de 2019 | 688 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | – | 5% |
Universidad de Georgia [449] | 30 de octubre – 8 de noviembre de 2019 | 1.028 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | 3% | 4% [hola] |
Análisis de Zogby [450] | 28 al 30 de octubre de 2019 | 550 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 44% | 46% | - | – | 11% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [451] | 1 al 16 de octubre de 2020 | 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 63,5% | 30,5% | 5,9% | Biden +33,0 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [452] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 64,3% | 30,0% | 5,7% | Biden +34,3 |
Promedio | 63,8% | 30,6% | 5,6% | Biden +33,2 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [453] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 5% | 31% [hj] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [453] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 1.263 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [454] | 12 al 14 de octubre de 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 29% | 58% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
Investigación de MRG/ Civil Beat / HNN [455] | 2 al 7 de octubre de 2020 | 988 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,1% | 28% | 61% | - | - | 4% [hong kong] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [453] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 474 (LV) | – | 33% | 66% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [453] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 362 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [453] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 356 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – | 2% |
Investigación MRG [456] | 27 al 30 de julio de 2020 | 975 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,1% | 29% | 56% | - | - | 6% [hl] | 10% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [453] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 207 (LV) | – | 30% | 67% | - | - | – | 3% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [457] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 38,5% | 56,6% | 4,9% | Trump +18,1 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [458] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 909 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 58% [hm] | 40% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [458] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 1.799 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [458] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 761 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | - | – | 1% |
Estrategias Spry/ Frente de Liberación de la Mujer [459] | 29 de agosto – 1 de septiembre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [458] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 737 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [458] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 671 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [458] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 266 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | - | – | 1% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [460] | 17 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 56,3% | 37,7% | 6.0% | Biden +18,6 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [461] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 55,0% | 39,0% | 6.0% | Biden +16,0 |
Promedio | 55,7% | 38,4% | 5,9% | Biden +17,3 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [462] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 5.643 (LV) | ± 2% | 40% [hn] | 58% | - | - | – | – |
Compañía de investigación [463] | 31 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 38% | 55% | - | - | 1% [alto] | 6% |
Investigación de la victoria [464] | 28 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.208 (LV) | ± 2,82% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
Balanceable [465] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 6% | 44% | 55% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [462] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 8.056 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | - | – | – |
Balanceable [466] | 23 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 424 (LV) | ± 6,2% | 43% | 54% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [462] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 8,392 (LV) | – | 36% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
Investigación de la victoria [467] | 23 al 26 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.208 (LV) | ± 2,82% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 4% | 3% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [462] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 6.773 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [462] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 7,565 (LV) | – | 38% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [462] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 3.000 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [468] | 14 de octubre - 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 42,0% | 51,0% | 7.0% | Trump +9.0 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [469] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 42,0% | 52,9% | 5,1% | Trump +10,8 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [470] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 2.729 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 54% [cv] | 44% | – | – | – |
Balanceable [471] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 264 (LV) | ±7,8% | 55% | 43% | 2% | – | – |
Consulta matutina [472] | 22 al 31 de octubre de 2020 | 1.147 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 42% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [470] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 4.734 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
Balanceable [473] | 23 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 7,4% | 53% | 42% | 5% | – | – |
Investigación Ragnar (R) [474] | 18 al 21 de octubre de 2020 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 40% | 5% | – | 7% |
SurveyUSA /Twitter sobre elecciones [475] | 10 al 13 de octubre de 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 5,2% | 49% | 42% | – | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [470] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 2.367 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio /IndyPolitics [476] | 3 al 7 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.033 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 53% | 39% | 5% | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [470] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 1.672 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
Consulta matutina [477] | 24 de julio – 2 de agosto de 2020 [sede] | 900 (LV) | ±3,5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [470] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 2.175 (LV) | – | 56% | 43% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [470] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 57% | 40% | – | – | – |
Victoria Research/Tallian para Fiscal General [478] [12] [AI] | 21 al 23 de mayo de 2020 | 894 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 49% | 39% | – | – | – |
Política de Indy/ Investigación sobre el cambio [479] | 10 al 13 de abril de 2020 | 1.021 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 52% | 39% | – | 5% | 3% |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [480] | 31 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 46,2% | 47,8% | 6.0% | Trump +1,6 |
Política realmente clara [481] | 23 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 45,6% | 47,6% | 6,8% | Trump +2.0 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [482] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 46,3% | 47,6% | 6,1% | Trump +1,3 |
Promedio | 46,0% | 47,7% | 6,3% | Trump +1,5 |
Centro
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Encuestas de políticas públicas [483] | 1 y 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 871 (V) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [484] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.489 (LV) | ±3,5% | 51% [hora] | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Investigación sobre el cambio [485] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.084 (LV) | ± 3,2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 2% [alto] | 1% |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [486] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 48% | 49% | – | – | 3% [altura] | 0% |
Datos para el progreso [487] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3,2% | 49% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1% [hu] | – |
Colegio Emerson [488] | 29-31 de octubre de 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 49% [ia] | 47% | – | – | 4% | 0% |
InsiderAdvantage/Centro para la grandeza estadounidense [489] [H] | 30 de octubre de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 48% | 46% | 1% | – | – | 6% |
Selzer & Co. / Registro de Des Moines [490] | 26 al 29 de octubre de 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 8% [alto] | 2% [trabajo pesado] |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [484] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 3.005 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 2% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [491] | 23 al 27 de octubre de 2020 | 1.225 (LV) | ± 2,8% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 1% [hx] | 6% |
Investigación RABA/ Noticias de la OMS13 [492] | 21 al 24 de octubre de 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 1% |
Colegio Emerson [493] | 19-21 de octubre de 2020 | 435 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 48% [ia] | 48% | – | – | 4% [ev] | 0% |
Investigación de RMG/PoliticalIQ [494] | 15 al 21 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 47% [o] | 47% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 4% |
45% [hy] | 49% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 4% | ||||
49% [Hz] | 48% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 4% | ||||
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [495] | 18 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 753 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% [z] | 7% [ia] |
Ventaja privilegiada/Centro para la grandeza estadounidense [496] [H] | 18 y 19 de octubre de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | – | – | 8% |
Universidad de Monmouth [497] | 15 al 19 de octubre de 2020 | 501 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,4% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 0% [ib] | 2% [ic] | 2% |
501 (LV) [gh] | 47% | 50% | – | – | – | – | |||
501 (LV) [gi] | 46% | 51% | – | – | – | – | |||
David Binder Investigación/Enfoque en la América rural [498] | 10 al 13 de octubre de 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Datos para el progreso (D) [499] | 8 al 11 de octubre de 2020 | 822 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
YouGov / CBS [500] | 6 al 9 de octubre de 2020 | 1.035 (LV) | ±3,5% | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% [id] | 0% |
Opinión Insight/ Foro de Acción Estadounidense [501] [J] | 5 al 8 de octubre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,46% | 46% [ia] | 47% | – | – | 3% [es decir] | 4% [ia] |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [502] | 3 al 6 de octubre de 2020 | 756 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 4% [ev] | 1% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [503] | 1 al 5 de octubre de 2020 | 1.205 (LV) | ± 2,8% | 45% | 50% | – | – | 2% [ah] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [484] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.276 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Datos para el progreso (D) [504] | 23 al 28 de septiembre de 2020 | 743 (LV) | ±3,6% | 47% [o] | 44% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
50% [si] | 45% | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
Hart Research Associates/ Campaña de Derechos Humanos [505] [AJ] | 24 al 27 de septiembre de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Investigación RABA/ Noticias de la OMS13 [506] | 23 al 26 de septiembre de 2020 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | – | – | 2% [ig] | 4% |
Universidad de Monmouth [507] | Del 18 al 22 de septiembre de 2020 | 402 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,9% | 50% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 1% [ih] | 2% |
402 (LV) | 49% [gh] | 46% | 2% | – | 2% [ii] | 2% | |||
49% [IG] | 46% | 2% | – | 2% [ii] | 2% | ||||
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [508] | Del 16 al 22 de septiembre de 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4,99% | 42% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% [z] | 10% [ia] |
Selzer & Co. / Registro de Des Moines [509] | 14 al 17 de septiembre de 2020 | 658 (LV) | ±3,8% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 4% [ev] | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/ AARP [510] | 30 de agosto – 5 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 47% | 45% | – | – | 1% [ij] | 6% |
Opinión Insight/ Foro de Acción Estadounidense [511] [J] | 30 de agosto – 2 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,46% | 51% [ia] | 43% | 3% | 1% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [484] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 983 (LV) | – | 53% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Universidad de Monmouth [512] | 30 de julio – 3 de agosto de 2020 | 401 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,9% | 48% | 45% | 3% | – | <1% [ik] | 3% |
401 (LV) | 48% [gh] | 46% | 2% | <1% [il] | 3% | ||||
47% [gl] | 47% | 2% | 0% [en] | 3% | |||||
Datos para el progreso [513] | 24 de julio – 2 de agosto de 2020 | 1.101 (LV) | – | 44% [o] | 42% | 3% | 1% | – | 10% |
46% [si] | 45% | – | – | – | 9% | ||||
Investigación de David Binder/Enfoque en la América rural [514] | 30 y 31 de julio de 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [484] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 1.095 (LV) | – | 54% | 45% | – | – | – | 1% |
Investigación RMG [515] | 27 al 30 de julio de 2020 | 500 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,5% | 41% | 40% | – | – | 7% | 13% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas / AFSCME [516] [F] | 23 y 24 de julio de 2020 | 1.118 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 6% |
Estrategias Spry/ Proyecto Principios Americanos [517] [AK] | 11 al 16 de julio de 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [484] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 455 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | – | – | – | 2% |
Registro Selzer / Des Moines [518] | 7 al 10 de junio de 2020 | 674 (LV) | ±3,8% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 10% [en] | 3% |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [519] | 6 al 8 de junio de 2020 | 865 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,8% | 46% | 46% | – | – | 7% [io] | 1% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas / Emily's List [520] [AL] | 3 y 4 de junio de 2020 | 963 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 5% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [521] [13] | 30 de abril – 1 de mayo de 2020 | 1.222 (V) | ± 2,8% | 48% | 46% | – | – | – | 6% |
Estrategias GBAO/PLUS Licencia familiar remunerada [522] | 13 al 16 de abril de 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 6% |
Registro Selzer / Des Moines [523] | 2 al 5 de marzo de 2020 | 667 (LV) | ±3,8% | 51% | 41% | – | – | – | – |
The New York Times / Colegio de Siena [524] | 20 al 23 de enero de 2020 | 1.689 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,8% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 5% [ip] | 6% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [525] | 29 al 31 de diciembre de 2019 | 964 (V) | – | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Colegio Emerson [526] | 7 al 10 de diciembre de 2019 | 1.043 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3% | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | 6% |
Resultado del NYT / Siena College [527] | 25 al 30 de octubre de 2019 | 1.435 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,1% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 3% | 5% |
Colegio Emerson [528] | 13 al 16 de octubre de 2019 | 888 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,2% | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Inteligencia WPA (R) [529] | 27 al 30 de abril de 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6,9% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 5% |
Colegio Emerson [530] | 21 al 24 de marzo de 2019 | 707 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,6% | 47% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Colegio Emerson [531] | 30 de enero – 2 de febrero de 2019 | 831 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,4% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [532] | 17 al 22 de octubre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 43,0% | 51,7% | 5,3% | Trump +8,7 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [533] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 41,0% | 53,9% | 5,1% | Trump +12,9 |
Promedio | 42,0% | 52,8% | 5,2% | Trump +10,8 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [534] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 2.321 (LV) | ± 3% | 55% [coeficiente intelectual] | 44% | – | – | – |
Datos para el progreso [535] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.121 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 55% | 41% | 3% | 2% [ir] | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [534] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 3.442 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 51% | 47% | – | – | – |
PPP / Protejamos nuestra atención [536] [AM] | 19 y 20 de octubre de 2020 | 897 (V) | ± 3,3% | 54% | 42% | – | – | 4% |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [537] | 18 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 41% | 4% | 2% [es] | 6% [es] |
co/eficiente/Keep Kansas Great PAC [538] [AN] | 18 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 2.453 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 56% | 39% | 2% | – | 3% |
Universidad Estatal de Fort Hays [539] | 21 de septiembre – 1 de octubre de 2020 | 306 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,8% | 52% | 38% | – | 11% [ui] | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [534] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.135 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | – | – | 1% |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [540] | 26 al 29 de septiembre de 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 52% | 42% | – | 4% [iv] | 1% |
Datos para el progreso (D) [541] | 14 al 19 de septiembre de 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 48% [iw] | 42% | 3% | 1% [ix] | 7% |
49% [iy] | 45% | – | – | 6% | ||||
co/eficiente/Keep Kansas Great PAC [542] [AN] | 15 y 16 de septiembre de 2020 | 794 (LV) | ±3,5% | 53% | 41% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [534] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 922 (LV) | – | 54% | 45% | – | – | 1% |
Encuesta USA [543] | 5 al 9 de agosto de 2020 | 1.202 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 48% | 41% | – | 5% [en] | 6% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [544] [AO] | 5 y 6 de agosto de 2020 | 864 (V) | ± 3,3% | 50% | 43% | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [534] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 1.295 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [534] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 466 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs / Diario Kos [545] | 30 de mayo – 1 de junio de 2020 | 699 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,2% | 52% | 40% | – | 6% [ja] | 2% |
La campaña del progreso (D) [546] | 15 al 22 de abril de 2020 | 1.632 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 51% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [547] | 10 y 11 de marzo de 2020 | 1.567 (V) | – | 52% | 40% | – | – | 8% |
Investigación DFM [548] | 30 de enero – 6 de febrero de 2020 | 600 (A) | ±4% | 51% | 43% | – | 3% [cv] | 3% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [549] | 17 al 20 de octubre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 40,0% | 57,0% | 3.0% | Trump +17,0 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [550] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 39,9% | 55,6% | 4,5% | Trump +15,7 |
Promedio | 40,0% | 56,3% | 3,7% | Trump +16,4 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [551] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 2.009 (LV) | ± 3% | 59% [jb] | 40% | - | – | – |
Balanceable [552] | 23 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 7,4% | 55% | 42% | 4% | – | – |
Colegio Comunitario y Técnico Bluegrass [553] | Del 12 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 250 (vehículo recreativo) | – | 52% | 39% | – | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [551] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 3.621 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon [554] | 12 al 15 de octubre de 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 56% | 39% | - | 1% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [551] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.479 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | – | 1% |
Datos para el progreso (D) [555] | 14 al 19 de septiembre de 2020 | 807 (LV) | ±3,5% | 55% [jc] | 35% | 1% | 1% [d] | 8% |
56% [es] | 38% | - | – | 6% | ||||
Universidad de Quinnipiac [556] | Del 10 al 14 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.164 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 58% | 38% | - | 1% [jf] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [551] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 1.231 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [557] | 30 de julio – 3 de agosto de 2020 | 909 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,3% | 50% | 41% | - | 4% [jg] | 5% |
Consulta matutina [558] | 24 de julio – 2 de agosto de 2020 | 793 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 59% | 35% | - | 2% [jh] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [551] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 1.709 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | – | 1% |
Datos de Bluegrass/Fondo Ditch Mitch [559] [AP] | 25 al 29 de julio de 2020 | 3.020 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 2,0% | 52% | 45% | - | – | – |
Estrategias Spry/ Proyecto Principios Americanos [560] [AQ] | 11 al 16 de julio de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/ Amy McGrath [561] [AR] | 7 al 12 de julio de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 53% | 41% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [551] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 596 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/ Amy McGrath [561] [AR] | Junio de 2020 | – (V) [bo] | – | 54% | 39% | - | – | – |
Civiqs / Datos para el progreso [562] | 13 al 15 de junio de 2020 | 898 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,8% | 57% | 37% | - | 5% [ji] | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/ Amy McGrath [561] [AR] | Mayo de 2020 | – (V) [bo] | – | 57% | 36% | - | – | – |
RMG Research/ Límites de mandato en EE. UU. [563] [AS] | Del 21 al 24 de mayo de 2020 | 500 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,5% | 53% | 36% | - | 6% [jj] | 5% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [564] | 14 y 15 de mayo de 2020 | 1.104 (V) | – | 55% | 39% | - | 5% [ji] | 2% |
Datos de Bluegrass/Fondo Ditch Mitch [559] [AT] | 7 al 12 de abril de 2020 [jk] | 4.000 (vehículo recreativo) | – | 55% | 34% | - | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/ AARP [565] | 29-31 de julio de 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 53% | 41% | - | – | 4% |
Mercadeo Gravis [566] | 11 y 12 de junio de 2019 | 741 (LV) | ±3,6% | 57% | 37% | - | – | 6% |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [567] | Del 14 al 27 de octubre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 36,0% | 56,5% | 7,5% | Trump +20,5 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [568] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 37,1% | 57,6% | 5,3% | Trump +20,6 |
Promedio | 36,6% | 57,1% | 6,4% | Trump +20,5 |
Centro
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [569] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.556 (LV) | ±3,5% | 62% [jl] | 36% | – | – | – | – |
Balanceable [570] | 23 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 378 (LV) | ± 6,7% | 57% | 39% | 4% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [569] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 2.633 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | – |
Universidad de Nueva Orleans [571] | 22 de octubre de 2020 | 755 (LV) | ±3,6% | 59% | 36% | – | – | 4% | 1% |
Grupo Trafalgar [572] | 4 al 6 de octubre de 2020 | 1.048 (LV) | ± 2,95% | 54% | 36% | 3% | – | 1% [en mi] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [569] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 2.475 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Alianza de Energía para el Consumidor [573] [AU] | 2 al 5 de septiembre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 42% | 2% | – | Sin votantes [jn] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [569] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 2.587 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Grupo Trafalgar [574] | 13 al 17 de agosto de 2020 | 1.002 (LV) | ± 2,99% | 54% | 38% | 3% | – | 1% [en mi] | 4% |
ALG Research/Perkins para Los Ángeles [575] [14] Archivado el 1 de noviembre de 2020 en Wayback Machine . [AV] | 6 al 12 de agosto de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [569] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 2.998 (LV) | – | 60% | 39% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [569] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 1.134 (LV) | – | 60% | 37% | – | – | – | 3% |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [576] | 6 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 51,8% | 40,2% | 8.0% | Biden +11,6 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [577] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 53,3% | 40,3% | 6,4% | Biden +13,0 |
Promedio | 53,1% | 40,3% | 7,2% | Biden +12,3 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Investigación sobre el cambio [578] | 29 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.024 (LV) | ±3,5% | 40% | 52% | 4% | 2% | 1% [jo] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [579] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 1.274 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% [en japonés] | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Colegio Emerson [580] | 29-31 de octubre de 2020 | 611 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 43% [jq] | 54% | – | – | 2% [jr] | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [579] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 1.995 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Encuesta USA / FairVote [581] | 23 al 27 de octubre de 2020 | 1.007 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 40% [o] | 53% | 2% | 2% | 1% [español] | 2% |
42% [en total] | 55% | – | – | 1% [ju] | 2% | ||||
Colegio Colby [582] | 21 al 25 de octubre de 2020 | 879 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 38% | 51% | – | – | 4% [empresa conjunta] | 8% |
Investigación Pan-Atlántica [583] | 2 al 6 de octubre de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 6% [tj] | 4% |
Perspectivas críticas/ Investigación digital / Bangor Daily News [584] | 25 de septiembre – 4 de octubre de 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 40% [o] | 51% | 3% | 1% | 2% [jx] | 3% |
40% [yen] | 52% | – | – | 5% [jz] | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey / Axios [579] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 729 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
Datos para el progreso (D) [585] | 23 al 28 de septiembre de 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 39% [o] | 53% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
41% [ka] | 55% | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
Colegio Colby [586] | Del 17 al 23 de septiembre de 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 4% [kb] | 6% |
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe [587] | 17 al 20 de septiembre de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 39% [o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1% [kc] | 7% |
39% [en] | 51% | – | – | 2% [kd] | 8% | ||||
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [588] | Del 11 al 16 de septiembre de 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 5,1% | 38% [ke] | 55% | 0% | 0% | 1% [kf] | 6% [kg] |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [589] | Del 10 al 14 de septiembre de 2020 | 1.183 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 38% | 59% | – | – | 0% [kh] | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/ AARP [590] | 30 de agosto – 5 de septiembre de 2020 | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 40% | 54% | – | – | 1% [ki] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [579] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 502 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
Perspectivas críticas/ Investigación digital / Bangor Daily News [591] | 28 de julio – 9 de agosto de 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 38% | 45% | – | – | 11% [kJ] | 6% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac [592] | 30 de julio – 3 de agosto de 2020 | 805 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,7% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 6% [kk] | 4% |
Investigación de RMG [593] | 27 de julio – 2 de agosto de 2020 | 500 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 4,5% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 7% [kl] | 4% |
Datos para el progreso [594] | 24 de julio – 2 de agosto de 2020 | 866 (LV) | – | 42% [o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | – | 7% |
43% [km] | 53% | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
SurveyMonkey / Axios [579] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 733 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 1% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas / AFSCME [595] [F] | 23 y 24 de julio de 2020 | 962 (V) | – | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 5% |
Colegio Colby /Esfera social [596] | 18 al 24 de julio de 2020 | 888 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 3,9% | 38% | 50% | – | – | 5% [kn] | 7% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [597] | 2 y 3 de julio de 2020 | 1.022 (V) | ± 3,1% | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [579] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 202 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | – | – | – | 3% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [598] | 2 y 3 de marzo de 2020 | 872 (V) | ± 3,3% | 42% | 52% | – | – | – | 6% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas [599] | 11 al 13 de octubre de 2019 | 939 (LV) | ± 3,2% | 42% | 54% | – | – | – | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward/ AARP [600] | 29-31 de julio de 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 44% | 50% | – | – | – | 5% |
Mercadeo Gravis [601] | 24 de junio de 2019 | 767 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,5% | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [602] | 7 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 60,0% | 31,7% | 8,3% | Biden +28,3 |
Política realmente clara [603] | 4 de septiembre – 24 de octubre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 60,3% | 31,0% | 8,7% | Biden +29,3 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [604] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 63,1% | 31,6% | 5,3% | Biden +31,4 |
Promedio | 61,1% | 31,4% | 7,4% | Biden +29,7 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [605] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3.216 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 31% [k] | 66% | – | – | – | – |
Balanceable [606] | 23 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 5,7% | 31% | 67% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [605] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 5.820 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | – | – | – | – |
Encuesta de González, Maryland [607] | 19 al 24 de octubre de 2020 | 820 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,5% | 33% | 58% | – | – | 3% [cv] | 6% |
Colegio Goucher [608] | 30 de septiembre – 4 de octubre de 2020 | 776 (LV) | ±3,5% | 30% | 61% | 2% | 2% | 3% [kp] | 2% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / Nuestra voz Maryland [609] | 29 de septiembre – 1 de octubre de 2020 | 650 (V) | ± 4,55% | 32% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [605] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 2.364 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | – | – | – | 2% |
OpinionWorks [610] | 4 al 11 de septiembre de 2020 | 753 (LV) | – | 30% | 62% | – | – | 3% [cv] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [605] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 1.813 (LV) | – | 31% | 66% | – | – | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [605] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 1.911 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [605] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 1.175 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | – | – | – | 2% |
Encuesta de González, Maryland [611] | Del 19 al 23 de mayo de 2020 | 810 (LV) | ±3,5% | 31% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
Colegio Goucher [612] | 13 al 19 de febrero de 2020 | 718 (LV) | ±3,6% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 1% [kq] | 4% [coronas] |
Encuestas agregadas
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [613] | 17 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 65,0% | 28,7% | 6,3% | Biden +36,3 |
Políticas claras y reales [614] | 31 de julio – 27 de agosto de 2020 | 15 de septiembre de 2020 | 64,0% | 28,3% | 7,7% | Biden +35,7 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [615] | hasta el 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 64,6% | 28,9% | 6,5% | Biden +35,8 |
Promedio | 64,5% | 28,6% | 6,8% | Biden +35,9 |
Centro
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassInc [616] | 23 al 30 de octubre de 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | - | - | 8% [ks] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [617] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 5.848 (LV) | – | 28% | 70% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov / Universidad de Massachusetts Amherst [618] | 14 al 21 de octubre de 2020 | 713 (LV) | – | 29% | 64% | - | - | 3% [kt] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [617] | 1 al 30 de septiembre de 2020 | 2.655 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [617] | 1 al 31 de agosto de 2020 | 2.286 (LV) | – | 29% | 69% | - | - | – | 2% |
Colegio Emerson / WHDH [619] | 25 al 27 de agosto de 2020 | 763 (LV) | ±3,5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
MassINC / WBUR [620] | 6 al 9 de agosto de 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 27% | 63% | - | - | 5% [ku] | 4% |
Universidad de Massachusetts / YouGov [621] | 31 de julio – 7 de agosto de 2020 | 500 (vehículo recreativo) | ± 5,9% | 28% | 61% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [617] | 1 al 31 de julio de 2020 | 2.509 (LV) | – | 26% | 72% | - | - | – | 2% |
Masa INC [622] | 17 al 20 de julio de 2020 | 797 (vehículo recreativo) | – | 23% | 55% | - | - | 10% [kv] | 12% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [617] | 8 al 30 de junio de 2020 | 1.091 (LV) | – | 27% | 71% | - | - | – | 2% |
Colegio Emerson / 7 Noticias [623] | 4 y 5 de mayo de 2020 | 740 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,5% | 33% [kW] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
Universidad de Massachusetts Lowell / YouGov [624] | 27 de abril – 1 de mayo de 2020 | 1.000 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,6% | 30% | 58% | - | - | 7% [kx] | 4% |
Colegio Emerson [625] | 4 al 7 de abril de 2019 | 761 (vehículo recreativo) | ±3,5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
Fuente de agregación de la encuesta | Fechas de administración | Fechas actualizadas | Joe Biden Demócrata | Donald Trump Republican | Otro / Indeciso [a] | Margen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 para ganar [626] | 22 de octubre – 2 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 49,9% | 44,4% | 5,7% | Biden +5,5 |
Política realmente clara [627] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 50,0% | 45,8% | 4,2% | Biden +4,2 |
Cinco Treinta y Ocho [628] | hasta el 1 de noviembre de 2020 | 3 de noviembre de 2020 | 51,2% | 43,2% | 5,6% | Biden +7,9 |
Promedio | 50,4% | 44,5% | 5,1% | Biden +5,9 |
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha(s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra [dk] | Margen de error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Demócrata | Jo Jorgensen Libertario | Howie Hawkins Verde | Otro | Indeciso |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey / Axios [629] | 20 de octubre – 2 de noviembre | 4.549 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% [ky] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Compañía de investigación [630] | 31 de octubre – 1 de noviembre | 450 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 2% [ah] | 5% |
Investigación sobre el cambio / CNBC [631] | 29 de octubre – 1 de noviembre | 383 (LV) | ± 5,01% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
Balanceable [632] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre | 413 (LV) | ± 6,5% | 45% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters [633] | 27 de octubre – 1 de noviembre | 654 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 43% [o] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2% [kz] | – |
42% [la] | 52% | - | - | 3% [de] | 3% | ||||
45 % [libras] | 53% | - | - | 2% [lc] | – | ||||
Grupo Trafalgar [634] | 30 y 31 de octubre | 1.033 (LV) | ± 2,97% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
Atlas Intel [635] | 30 y 31 de octubre | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% | – |
Ventaja privilegiada/Centro para la grandeza estadounidense [636] [H] | 30 y 31 de octubre | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 47% | 49% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Consulta matutina [637] | 22 al 31 de octubre | 1.736 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 44,5% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Colegio Emerson [638] | 29 y 30 de octubre | 700 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 45% [ia] | 52% | - | - | 3% [cv] | – |
Encuesta de políticas públicas /Progress Michigan [639] [AW] | 29 y 30 de octubre | 745 (V) | ±3,6% | 44% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | 1% |
Investigación de mercado de Targoz/PollSmart [640] | 25-30 de octubre | 993 (LV) | – | 39% | 53% | - | - | 8% [límite de contenido] | – |
CNN /SSRS [641] | 23 al 30 de octubre | 907 (LV) | ±3,8% | 41% | 53% | 2% | 1% | 1% [el] | 2% |
Investigación Mitchell (R)/MIRS [642] | 29 de octubre | 817 (LV) | ± 3,43% | 45% | 52% | 1% | 1% | 0% [lf] | 0% |
Investigación de RMG/PoliticalIQ [643] | 27-29 de octubre | 800 (LV) | ±3,5% | 44% [o] | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
42% [dz] | 53% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
45% [cada uno] | 50% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
Estrategias de Redfield & Wilton [644] | 26 al 29 de octubre | 1.212 (LV) | – | 41% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
EPIC-MRA [645] | 25 al 28 de octubre | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 5% [lg] | 6% [día] |
Grupo Trafalgar [646] | 25 al 28 de octubre | 1.058 (LV) | ± 2,93% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% [hacer] | 1% |
Investigación de Kiaer [647] | 21 al 28 de octubre | 669 (LV) | ± 5,6% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 2% [izq.] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey / Axios [629] | 1 al 28 de octubre de 2020 | 7,541 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Investigación Mitchell (R)/MIRS [648] | 25 al 27 de octubre | 759 (LV) | ±3,56% | 42% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 0% [li] | 2% |
Balanceable [649] | 23 al 26 de octubre de 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 6,7% | 40% | 59% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
Siena College / Resultado del NYT [650] | 23-26 de octubre | 856 (LV) | ±3,8% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% [lj] | 6% [día] |
Ipsos / Reuters [651] | 20 al 26 de octubre | 652 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 43% [o] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2% [kz] | – |
43% [la] | 52% | - | - | 3% [de] | 3% | ||||
Encuestas de Wick [652] | 24 y 25 de octubre | 1.000 (LV) | ± 3,1% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Grupo Glengariff/ Noticias de Detroit [653] | 23-25 de octubre | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 2% [lk] | 4% |
ABC / Washington Post [654] | 20-25 de octubre | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 0% | 0% [ll] | 1% |
Marketing Gravis [655] | 24 de octubre | 679 (LV) | ±3,8% | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | 3% |
Encuesta de políticas públicas /American Bridge PAC [656] [AX] | 21 y 22 de octubre | 804 (V) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov / Universidad de Wisconsin-Madison [657] | Oct 13–21 | 681 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | 5%[lm] | – |
Citizen Data[658] | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Fox News[659] | Oct 17–20 | 1,032 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 2%[ln] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[660] | Oct 14–20 | 686 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44%[o] | 52% | 2% | 0% | 2%[kz] | – |
44%[la] | 51% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult[637] | Oct 11–20 | 1,717 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[661] | Oct 16–19 | 718 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
EPIC-MRA[662] | Oct 15–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5%[lo] | 8%[dy] |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS[663] | Oct 18 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.27% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 1% | 1%[do] | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[664][AY] | Oct 15–18 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2%[ah] | 2% |
Data For Progress[665] | Oct 15–18 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News[666] | Oct 11–18 | 2,851 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill[667] | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[668] | Oct 11–14 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 2%[ah] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 10–13 | 972 (LV) | – | 42%[al] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[669] | Oct 8–13 | 800 (LV) | – | 42%[o] | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
39%[dz] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
44%[ea] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters[670] | Oct 7–13 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44%[o] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 2%[lp] | – |
43%[la] | 51% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[671] | Oct 8–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 4%[lq] | 9%[dy] |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[672][AZ] | Oct 8–11 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 52% | - | - | 4%[lr] | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[673] | Oct 6–11 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[ls] | 8%[dy] |
Morning Consult[674] | Oct 2–11 | 1,710 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 9–10 | 827 (LV) | – | 41%[al] | 51% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/CBS[675] | Oct 6–9 | 1,190 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2%[lt] | 0% |
Baldwin Wallace University[676] | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[lu] | 4% |
Emerson College[677] | Oct 6–7 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43%[ai] | 54% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[678] | Oct 4–6 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[679][J] | Oct 3–6 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44%[ai] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[680] | Sep 29 – Oct 6 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 2%[r] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[681] | Oct 2–4 | 676 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News[682] | Sep 30 – Oct 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5%[lv] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[683][AW] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 746 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[629] | Sep 1–30 | 3,297 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[684][AY] | Sep 26–28 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1%[do] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[685] | Sep 23–26 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 0%[lw] | 6% |
Marist College/NBC[686] | Sep 19–23 | 799 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare[687][BA] | Sep 17–23 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[688] | Sep 20–22 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46.7% | 46.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2%[lx] | 3.2% |
Baldwin Wallace University[689] | Sep 9–22 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[ly] | 6% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal[690] | Sep 10–21 | 641 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[691] | Sep 18–20 | 568 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[692][BB] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D)[693] | Sep 14–19 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42%[o] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 9% |
44%[lz] | 50% | - | - | – | 6% | ||||
MRG[694] | Sep 14–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8%[ma] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters[695] | Sep 11–16 | 637 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[696][AZ] | Sep 11–15 | 517 (RV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[697] | Sep 12–14 | 930 (LV) | ± 3.21% | 39% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0%[lw] | 9% |
EPIC-MRA[698] | Sep 10–15 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 48% | - | - | 5%[lo] | 7%[dy] |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP[699] | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1%[mb] | 5% |
Morning Consult[700] | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,455 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42%[mc] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[701] | Sep 4–6 | 876 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 7%[md] | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[702][15] | Sep 2–3 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44%[ai] | 53% | - | - | 3%[me] | – |
Glengariff Group[703] | Sep 1–3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 4%[mf] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[704] | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 40% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[705][J] | Aug 30 – Sep 2 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44%[ai] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 0%[mg] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[629] | Aug 1–31 | 2,962 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 21–30 | 1,424 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[706][AW] | Aug 28–29 | 897 (V) | – | 44% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[707] | Aug 21–23 | 809 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[708] | Aug 14–23 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 45% | 3% | - | 1%[mh] | 4% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies[709] | Aug 16–19 | 812 (LV) | – | 38% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1%[mi] | 9% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[710][AZ] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 7–16 | 1,212 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[711][AY] | Aug 11–15 | 600 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC[712] | Aug 7–9 | 413 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[713] | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 761 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 5%[mj] | 6% |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[714][BC] | Jul 30 – Aug 4 | 1,245 (LV) | – | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research[715] | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[629] | Jul 1–31 | 3,083 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
EPIC-MRA[716] | Jul 25–30 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 51% | 3% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[717][AW] | Jul 28–29 | 876 (V) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 6%[mk] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[718][16] | Jul 24–26 | 413 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult[719] | Jul 17–26 | 1,320 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS[720] | Jul 21–24 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2%[ml] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[721] | Jul 19–24 | 811 (LV) | – | 37% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2%[mm] | 10% |
CNN/SSRS[722] | Jul 18–24 | 927 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 52% | - | - | 5%[mn] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing[723][17] | Jul 22 | 754 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 7% |
Fox News[724] | Jul 18–20 | 756 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4%[mo] | 7% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[725][AY] | Jul 13–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 7% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[726][BD] | Jul 11–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC[727] | Jul 10–12 | 824 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D)[728][BE] | Jul 9–10 | 1,041 (V) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[629] | Jun 8–30 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[729] | Jun 26–28 | 699 (LV)[al] | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D)[730][AW] | Jun 26–27 | 1,237 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 5%[mp] | 1% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)[731] | Jun 17–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 56% | - | - | 2%[mq] | 7% |
Trafalgar Group[732] | Jun 16–18 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 5%[lo] | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[733] | Jun 8–17 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 47% | - | - | 8%[mr] | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[734] | Jun 14–16 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.41% | 36% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2%[ms] | 12% |
TargetPoint[735] | Jun 11–16 | 1,000 (A) | – | 33% | 49% | - | - | 4%[mt] | 14% |
Change Research/CNBC[736] | Jun 12–14 | 353 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3%[mu] | – |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC[737][H] | Jun 9–12 | 859 (LV) | – | 38% | 51% | - | - | 4%[mv] | 7% |
Kiaer Research[738] | May 31 – Jun 7 | 543 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 35% | 50% | - | - | 6%[mw] | 8% |
EPIC-MRA[739] | May 31 – Jun 4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
EPIC-MRA[740] | May 30 – Jun 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 6%[dy] |
Change Research/CNBC[741] | May 29–31 | 620 (LV)[al] | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[742][AW] | May 29–30 | 1,582 (V) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 4%[mx] | 2% |
Morning Consult[719] | May 17–26 | 1,325 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[743][BF] | May 18–19 | 1,234 (V) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/Crooked Media[744] | May 11–17 | 3,070 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[745] | May 10–14 | 970 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 47% | - | - | 3%[my] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)[746] | May 1–5 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[747][BG] | Apr 28–29 | 1,270 (V) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[748][BH] | Apr 20–21 | 1,277 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Fox News[749] | Apr 18–21 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters[750] | Apr 15–20 | 612 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)[751] | Apr 9–11 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research/CAP Action[752][BI] | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | - | - | 4% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling[753] | Mar 31 – Apr 1 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
SPRY Strategies[754] | Mar 30 – Apr 1 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes[755] | Mar 17–25 | 997 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
Change Research[756] | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 5% | |
Marketing Resource Group[757] | Mar 16–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | - | - | 9%[mz] | 6% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)[758] | Mar 12–16 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
AtlasIntel[759] | Mar 7–9 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 44% | - | - | 10% | – |
YouGov/Yahoo News[760] | Mar 6–8 | 566 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | - | - | 6%[na] | 7% |
Monmouth University[761] | Mar 5–8 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 9% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[762] | Mar 5–7 | 550 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov[763] | Feb 11–20 | 1,249 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[764] | Feb 12–18 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 6%[nb] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute[765] | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 43% | 43% | - | - | – | 14% |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[766][18] | Jan 9–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
Glengariff Group Inc.[767] | Jan 3–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden DFL | Donald J. Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[768] | October 27 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.6% | 41.8% | 6.6% | Biden +9.8 |
Real Clear Politics[769] | October 12–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 43.7% | 8.3% | Biden +4.3 |
FiveThirtyEight[770] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.8% | 42.7% | 5.5% | Biden +9.2 |
Average | 50.5% | 42.7% | 6.8% | Biden +7.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden DFL | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[771] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,031 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 41%[nc] | 56% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co.[772] | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 1%[nd] | 4% |
Data for Progress[773] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | 4% | 2% | 1%[ne] | – |
Swayable[774] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 43% | 53% | 4% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult[775] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling[776] | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 770 (V) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart[777] | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,138 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3%[nf] | – |
St. Cloud State University[778] | Oct 10–29, 2020 | 372 (A) | ± 6.7% | 39% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[771] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,498 (LV) | – | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyUSA/KSTP/ABC6 News[779] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 5%[ng] | 6% |
Gravis Marketing[780] | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 53% | - | - | – | 8% |
Trafalgar Group[781] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,065 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 45% | 48% | 2% | - | 4%[nh] | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[782] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 53% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
SurveyUSA/KSTP[783] | Oct 16–20, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult[775] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/MinnPost[784] | Oct 12–15, 2020[ni] | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 2%[nj] | 2% |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America[785] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult[786] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyUSA/ABC6 News[787] | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | - | - | 3%[nk] | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[771] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,808 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Suffolk University[788] | Sep 20–24, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 4%[nl] | 6% |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11[789] | Sep 21–23, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[790] | Sep 12–17, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.66% | 42% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 1%[nm] | 5% |
ABC/Washington Post[791] | Sep 8–13, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 57% | - | - | 1%[nn] | 1% |
Morning Consult[792] | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 643 (LV) | ± 4% | 44%[bg] | 48% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS[793] | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2%[no] | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[794] | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0%[np] | 5%[nq] |
SurveyUSA[795] | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 553 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4%[nr] | 7% |
Morning Consult[796] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP[797] | Sep 3–4, 2020 | 877 (V) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis[798][BJ] | Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[771] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,939 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | - | - | – | 1% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[799] | Aug 15–18, 2020 | 1,141 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 4% | - | 1%[ns] | 2% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College[800] | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 733 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49%[nt] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research[801] | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 36% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[771] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,288 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[802] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[803] | Jul 23–25, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 2% | - | 3%[nu] | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords[804][BK] | Jul 22–23, 2020 | 1,218 (V) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 6% |
FOX News[805] | Jul 18–20, 2020 | 776 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6%[nv] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[771] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 860 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | - | - | – | 1% |
Gravis Marketing[806] | Jun 19, 2020 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42%[nw] | 58%[nx] | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult[792] | May 27– Jun 5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis[798][BJ] | May 26–28, 2020 | 510 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | 8% |
Morning Consult[802] | May 17–26, 2020 | 647 (LV) | – | 42% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11[807] | May 18–20, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | 7% |
Morning Consult[792] | May 7–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune[808] | Oct 14–16, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 50% | - | - | – | 12% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[809] | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 3.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[810] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.6% | 55.5% | 4.9% | Trump +15.9 |
Average | 39.8% | 56.3% | 3.9% | Trump +16.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[811] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,461 (LV) | ± 4% | 61%[ny] | 37% | - | - | – | – |
Data For Progress[812] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 55% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 1%[nz] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[813] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 507 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 55% | 41% | - | - | 3%[oa] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[811] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,116 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[811] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 782 (LV) | – | 55% | 44% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[811] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 607 (LV) | – | 61% | 36% | - | - | – | 3% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[814][BL] | Aug 28–30, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 40% | No voters | - | No voters[ob] | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group/Mike Espy[815][BM] | Jul 30 – Aug 9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53%[oc] | 43% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[811] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 733 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[811] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 425 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | - | – | 2% |
Chism Strategies (D)[816] | Jun 2–4, 2020 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 41% | - | - | 6%[od] | 3% |
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College[817] | Apr 8–9, 2020 | 508 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 38% | - | - | 7% | 7% |
Mason-Dixon[818] | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 41% | - | - | – | 3% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[819] | October 13 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.7% | 51.3% | 5.0% | Trump +7.6 |
FiveThirtyEight[820] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.6% | 4.8% | Trump +8.0 |
Average | 43.7% | 51.5% | 4.9% | Trump +7.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[821] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,926 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54%[oe] | 44% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable[822] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 487 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 55% | 43% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult[823] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3% | 52% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[824] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[821] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,759 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[825] | Oct 14–15, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 1% | - | 2% |
YouGov/SLU[826] | Sep 24 – Oct 7, 2020 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 43% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Missouri[827][BN] | Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[828] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 980 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[821] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,157 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | 2% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[829] | Sep 16–17, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | 2% |
We Ask America[830] | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 49% | 44% | - | - | 5%[of] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[821] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,863 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group (R)[831] | Aug 26–28, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 52% | 41% | 3% | - | 1%[og] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[821] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,261 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/Saint Louis University[832] | Jun 23 – Jul 1, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.95% | 50% | 43% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[821] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 868 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout[833][BN] | Jun 16–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[834] | Jun 10–11, 2020 | 1,152 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | - | – | 6% |
We Ask America[835] | May 26–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 48% | 44% | - | - | 3%[oh] | 5% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[836] | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | – | 53% | 42% | - | - | – | 5% |
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[837][BO] | Jan 20–22, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 50% | 43% | - | - | – | 7% |
Remington Research Group[838] | Sep 18–19, 2019 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 42% | - | - | – | 5% |
Remington Research Group[839] | Apr 10–11, 2019 | 955 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | - | - | – | 6% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[840] | October 22–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.8% | 50.2% | 5.0% | Trump +5.4 |
FiveThirtyEight[841] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.4% | 49.8% | 4.8% | Trump +4.4 |
Average | 45.1% | 50.0% | 4.9% | Trump +4.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research[842] | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 1%[oi] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[843] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 4% | 52%[oj] | 46% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[843] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,471 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 48% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[844][BP] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | 3% |
Montana State University Billings[845] | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 45% | 1% | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[846] | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 758 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 2%[ok] | 3%[ol] |
Strategies 360/NBCMT[847] | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 43% | 3% | – | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[848] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50%[om] | 46% | 2% | 4%[ev] | 0% |
48%[on] | 48% | 2% | 4%[ev] | 0% | ||||
52%[oo] | 44% | 2% | 4%[ev] | 0% | ||||
Public Policy Polling[849] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 798 (V) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 46% | - | 2%[op] | 0% |
Emerson College[850] | Oct 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 56% | 44% | – | – | – |
Data For Progress (D)[851] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 737 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 0%[oq] | 5% |
Montana State University Bozeman[852] | Sep 14 – Oct 2, 2020 | 1,607 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 44% | – | 4% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[843] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 480 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[853] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 42% | 2% | 2%[or] | 5%[ol] |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP[854] | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | 0%[os] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[843] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 562 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | 1% |
Expedition Strategies/House Majority PAC[855][BQ] | Aug 22–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 44% | – | – | 7%[ol] |
Emerson College[856] | Jul 31 – Aug 2, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54%[ot] | 46% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[843] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 527 (LV) | – | 53% | 44% | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[857][F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 917 (V) | – | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[858][BR] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[859] | Jul 11–13, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 45% | - | 5%[ou] | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/Election Twitter[860] | Jul 9–10, 2020 | 1,224 (V) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[843] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 166 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | 2% |
University of Montana[861] | Jun 17–26, 2020 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 38% | – | – | 10% |
Montana State University Bozeman[852] | Apr 10–27, 2020 | 459 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 40% | – | 11% | 5% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | Apr 14–21, 2020 | 1,712 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7%[ov] |
University of Montana[862] | Feb 12–22, 2020 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | – | – | 10% |
University of Montana[863] | Sep 26 – Oct 3, 2019 | 303 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 54% | 47% | – | – | – |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[864] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.5% | 52.1% | 5.4% | Trump +9.7 |
Statewide
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[865] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,742 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56%[ow] | 43% | − | − | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[865] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,423 (LV) | – | 53% | 46% | − | − | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[865] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 799 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | − | − | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[865] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 53% | 47% | − | − | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[865] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 910 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | − | − | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[865] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 267 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | − | − | 2% |
in Nebraska's 1st congressional district
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategies 360/Kate Bolz[866][BS] | Jul 16–22, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | − | − | – |
in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Nevada[867] | Oct 30 – Nov 2, 2020 | 191 (LV) | ± 7% | 44% | 50% | 5% | – | – |
Change Research[868] | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 0%[ox] | 0% |
Emerson College[869] | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48%[oy] | 50% | – | 2%[oz] | – |
FM3 Research/Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[870][BT] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 53% | − | 5%[pa] | – |
Siena College/NYT[871] | Sep 25–27, 2020 | 420 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 41% | 48% | 4% | 1%[pb] | 6%[ol] |
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[872][BU] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 50% | − | 1%[pc] | 3%[ol] |
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[872][BU] | Jul 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | − | 2%[pd] | 3%[ol] |
GQR/Kara Eastman[873][BV] | Jun 30 – Jul 5, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 44% | 51% | − | – | – |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick[874][BW] | May 7–10, 2020 | 448 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 52% | − | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[875] | October 16–31, 2020 | November 1, 2020 | 49.4% | 44.4% | 6.2% | Biden +5.0 |
Real Clear Politics[876] | October 23 – November 2, 2020 | November 1, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.3% | 5.0% | Biden +2.4 |
FiveThirtyEight[877] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.7% | 44.4% | 5.9% | Biden +5.3 |
Average | 49.3% | 45.0% | 5.7% | Biden +4.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[878] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 49% | 48% | 1% | 1%[do] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[879] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,366 (LV) | ± 3% | 49%[pe] | 49% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress[880] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,442 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 2%[pf] | – |
Emerson College[881] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 49% | - | 4%[pg] | – |
Trafalgar Group[882] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1%[do] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing[883] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 50% | – | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[879] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,333 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[884] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 49% | 3% | 2%[ph] | 4%[ol] |
BUSR/University of Nevada[885] | Oct 16–21, Oct 23, 2020 | 809 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 50% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[886] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 712 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 52% | - | 3%[pi] | 1% |
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP[887] | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 44% | 3% | 5%[pj] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS[888] | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 52% | - | 2%[pk] | 0% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[889] | Oct 2–6, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 48% | 3% | 1%[pl] | 6%[ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[879] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,239 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[890][H] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | 2%[pm] | 1% |
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR[891] | Sep 10–25, 2020 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | 7%[pn] | 6% |
Fox News[892] | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 810 (LV) | ± 3% | 41% | 52% | 3% | 2%[po] | 2% |
911 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 50% | 3% | 3%[pp] | 4% | ||
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)[893][BX] | Sep 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[894] | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 462 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 42% | 46% | 3% | 1%[pq] | 7%[ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[879] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 998 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | – | 1% |
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR[891] | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 682 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 44% | – | 5%[pr] | 12% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[879] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[879] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 609 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | - | 1% |
ALG Research/ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)[895][BY] | Apr 27–30, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel[896] | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | 15% | – |
FOX News[897] | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 1,505 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 39% | 47% | – | 9%[ps] | 4% |
FOX News[898] | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 1,506 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 47% | – | 9%[ps] | 4% |
Emerson College[899] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019 | 1,089 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 49% | – | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[900] | Aug 14–16, 2019 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 49% | – | – | 8% |
Emerson College[901] | Mar 28–30, 2019 | 719 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[902] | October 14–29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.4% | 42.4% | 4.2% | Biden +11.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[903] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.9% | 42.8% | 3.3% | Biden +11.1 |
Average | 53.7% | 42.6% | 3.8% | Biden +11.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[904] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45%[pt] | 54% | - | – | – |
American Research Group[905] | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 58% | 1% | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire[906] | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 53% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[904] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,791 (LV) | – | 44% | 55% | - | – | – |
Saint Anselm College[907] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | 2% | – | 2% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst[908] | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 757 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 53% | 2% | 1%[pu] | 2% |
University of New Hampshire[909] | Oct 9–12, 2020 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 55% | 0% | 0%[pv] | 2% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[910] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 51% | 2% | 3%[pw] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College[911] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 53% | - | 4%[ev] | 2% |
Emerson College[912] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45%[ai] | 53% | - | 2%[px] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[904] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 637 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | – | 2% |
American Research Group[913] | Sep 25–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 53% | 1% | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire[914] | Sep 24–28, 2020 | 972 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 53% | 1% | 0%[pv] | 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Center for American Greatness[915][H] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 850 (LV) | ± 4% | 42%[ai] | 56% | - | 1%[py] | 1% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell[916] | Sep 17–25, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44%[pz] | 52% | 1% | 2%[qa] | 1% |
44%[qb] | 53% | - | 0%[pv] | 1% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot[917] | Sep 8–11, 2020 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 2%[qc] | 7%[qd] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[904] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 444 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
Saint Anselm College[918] | Aug 15–17, 2020 | 1,042 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | - | 4%[ev] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[904] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire[919] | Jul 16–28, 2020 | 1,893 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 40% | 53% | - | 4%[qe] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[904] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 191 (LV) | – | 39% | 61% | - | – | 1% |
University of New Hampshire[919] | Jun 18–22, 2020 | 936 (LV) | – | 39% | 52% | - | 6%[qf] | 3% |
Saint Anselm College[920] | Jun 13–16, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 49% | - | 5% | 3% |
University of New Hampshire[919] | May 14–18, 2020 | 790 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | - | 5%[qg] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College[921] | Apr 23–27, 2020 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | 2% | 7% |
University of New Hampshire[922] | Feb 19–25, 2020 | 569 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 44% | - | 8%[qh] | 2% |
AtlasIntel[923] | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3% | 46% | 44% | - | 11% | – |
McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal[924][19] | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49%[qi] | 45% | - | –[qj] | –[qj] |
Marist College/NBC News[925] | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 51% | - | 2% | 5% |
Emerson College[926] | Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | - | – | – |
547 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | - | – | 13% | ||
Saint Anselm College[927] | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 51% | - | – | 6% |
Emerson College[928] | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[929] | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 53% | - | – | 7% |
Emerson College[930] | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
American Research Group[931] | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 53% | - | – | 8% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[932] | October 9 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 56.5% | 37.3% | 6.2% | Biden +19.2 |
Real Clear Politics[933] | September 4 – October 13, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 54.7% | 37.3% | 8.0% | Biden +17.4 |
FiveThirtyEight[934] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.4% | 37.9% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Average | 56.5% | 37.5% | 7.8% | Biden +19.0 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[935] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,870 (LV) | ± 2% | 38%[qk] | 59% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co.[936] | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 59% | - | - | 1%[ql] | 5% |
Swayable[937] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 40% | 59% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[935] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 6,472 (LV) | – | 37% | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable[938] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 386 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 38% | 62% | 0% | 0% | – | – |
Rutgers-Eagleton[939] | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 834 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 59% | - | - | 1%[qm] | 1% |
Stockton College[940] | Oct 7–13, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 36% | 56% | - | - | – | – |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[941] | Oct 5–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 56% | - | - | 10%[qn] | – |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[942] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 53% | - | - | 5%[qo] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[935] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,952 (LV) | – | 37% | 60% | - | - | – | 3% |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[943] | Sep 8–16, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 52% | - | - | 10%[qn] | – |
Emerson College[944] | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40%[qp] | 58% | - | - | 2%[qq] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[935] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,309 (LV) | – | 40% | 57% | - | - | – | 3% |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[945] | Aug 5–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.383% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 15%[qr] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[935] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,426 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
Pollfish/DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[946] | Jul 7–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.383% | 33% | 51% | - | - | 7%[qs] | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[935] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,110 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
Quinnipiac[947] | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 35% | 54% | - | - | 3%[qt] | 8% |
Rutgers-Eagleton[948] | Apr 22 – May 2, 2020 | 689 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 5%[qu] | 7% |
Monmouth University[949] | Apr 16–19, 2020 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[950] | Feb 12–16, 2020 | 715 (RV) | – | 35% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[951] | October 6 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.5% | 40.5% | 6.0% | Biden +13.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[952] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.8% | 42.3% | 3.9% | Biden +11.5 |
Average | 53.7% | 41.4% | 4.9% | Biden +12.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[953] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,481 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42%[qv] | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal[954] | Oct 23–29, 2020 | 1,180 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 54% | – | – | 3%[qw] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[953] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,719 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/GBAO Strategies/Ben Ray Luján (D)[955][BZ] | Oct 14–17, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report[956] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 53% | 2% | – | 2%[qx] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[953] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | – | 44% | 54% | – | – | – | 1% |
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal[957] | Aug 26 – Sep 2, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 39% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[953] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[953] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 904 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[953] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 506 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report[958] | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 740 (V) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 53% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling/The Majority Institute[959][CA] | Apr 20–21, 2020 | 1,091 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College[960] | Jan 3–6, 2020 | 967 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics[961] | April 30 – September 29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 59.7% | 31.0% | 9.3% | Biden +28.7 |
FiveThirtyEight[962] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 62.3% | 32.9% | 4.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Average | 61.0% | 32.0% | 7.1% | Biden +29.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[963] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 6,548 (LV) | ± 2% | 35%[qy] | 63% | – | – | – | – |
Research Co.[964] | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2%[qz] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[963] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 10,220 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable[965] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 33% | 65% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[963] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 10,007 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Siena College[966][permanent dead link] | Sep 27–29, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 29% | 61% | 0% | 1% | 2%[ra] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[963] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 9,969 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling[967] | Aug 20–22, 2020 | 1,029 (V) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 63% | - | - | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[963] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 10,280 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[963] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 4,555 (LV) | – | 33% | 65% | - | - | – | 2% |
Siena College[968] | Jun 23–25, 2020 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 57% | - | - | – | 10% |
Siena College[969] | May 17–21, 2020 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 57% | - | - | – | 11% |
Quinnipiac University[970] | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 32% | 55% | - | - | 5%[rb] | 8% |
Siena College[971] | Apr 19–23, 2020 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 29% | 65% | - | - | – | 6% |
Siena College[972] | Mar 22–26, 2020 | 566 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 58% | - | - | – | 10% |
Siena College[973] | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 658 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 55% | - | - | – | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[974] | October 31 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.8% | 47.5% | 4.7% | Biden +0.3 |
Real Clear Politics[975] | October 26 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.8% | 4.6% | Trump +0.2 |
FiveThirtyEight[976] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.9% | 47.1% | 4.0% | Biden +1.8 |
Average | 48.1% | 47.5% | 4.4% | Biden +0.6 |
June 1 – October 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[977] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 5,363 (LV) | ± 2% | 48%[rc] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[978] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 473 (LV) | ± 4.51% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% |
Swayable[979] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 52% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters[980] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48%[o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2%[rd] | – |
48%[re] | 49% | - | - | 3%[af] | 1% | ||||
48%[rf] | 50% | - | - | 2%[dv] | – | ||||
Data for Progress[981] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[rg] | – |
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[982][CB] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 676 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
AtlasIntel[983] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | - | - | 3% | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[984][H] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | – | 7% |
Emerson College[985] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47%[ai] | 47% | - | - | 6%[rh] | – |
Morning Consult[986] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,982 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS[987] | Oct 23–30, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1%[ri] | 1% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[988] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | 2%[dv] | – |
Trafalgar Group[989] | Oct 27–29, 2020 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 47% | 3% | - | 1%[do] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[990] | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,489 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill[991] | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 903 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
East Carolina University[992] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,103 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48%[ai] | 50% | - | - | 2%[rj] | 0%[rk] |
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)/NSJ[993] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 2%[rl] | 2% |
Marist College/NBC[994] | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[977] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,720 (LV) | – | 47% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[995] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 4% |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[996][CC] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 937 (V) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R)[997] | Oct 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[998] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 0%[dx] | 4%[ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters[999] | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48%[o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1%[rm] | – |
48%[re] | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 1% | ||||
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[1000] | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47%[o] | 48% | - | - | 3%[rn] | 2% |
46%[dz] | 50% | - | - | 3%[rn] | 2% | ||||
49%[ea] | 47% | - | - | 3%[rn] | 2% | ||||
Swayable[1001] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 396 (LV) | ± 6.8% | 48% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV[1002] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 2% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst[1003] | Oct 20–26, 2020 | 911 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1%[ro] | 2% |
Wick Surveys[1004] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[1005] | Oct 22–25, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 46% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0%[rp] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS[1006] | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 51% | – | – | 2%[rq] | 0% |
Trafalgar Group[1007] | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48.8% | 46% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.8%[rr] | 1.7% |
Citizen Data[1008] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 50% | 1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 3.6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1009] | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1010] | Oct 14–20, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47%[o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1%[rm] | – |
46%[re] | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult[986] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Meredith College[1011] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 0%[rs] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC[1012] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 521 (LV)[al] | – | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D)[1013] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
East Carolina University[1014] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 1,155 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47%[ai] | 51% | - | - | 2%[rt] | 0% |
ABC/Washington Post[1015] | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 646 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48%[o] | 49% | 1% | 0%[rk] | 0%[ru] | 1% |
48%[rv] | 50% | - | - | 0%[ru] | 1% | ||||
Emerson College[1016] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49%[ai] | 49% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[1017] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 994 (LV) | – | 46%[al] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1018] | Oct 9–13, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1%[rw] | 8%[ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters[1019] | Oct 7–13, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48%[o] | 48% | 2% | 0% | 1%[rm] | – |
47%[re] | 48% | - | - | 3%[af] | 3% | ||||
Monmouth University[1020] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 3% | 0% | 0%[rx] | 2% |
500 (LV)[ry] | 46% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 2% | |||
500 (LV)[rz] | 48% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 1% | |||
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV[1021] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 3% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./American Greatness PAC[1022][H] | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | 2% | - | 1%[sa] | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[1023] | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 45%[o] | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
43%[dz] | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47%[ea] | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult[1024] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,993 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CCES[1025] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,627 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42%[al] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1026] | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 938 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0%[lw] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1027] | Sep 29 – Oct 6, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2%[r] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling[1028] | Oct 4–5, 2020 | 911 (V) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
Data For Progress (D)[1029] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 1,285 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[1030] | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 396 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
East Carolina University[1031] | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 1,232 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 2%[sb] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[977] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,495 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
ALG Research/Piedmont Rising[1032][CD] | Sep 22–28, 2020 | 822 (V) | – | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[1033][CE] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1034] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 1,097 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS[1035] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,213 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2%[sc] | 4% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell[1036] | Sep 18–25, 2020 | 921 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47%[o] | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[sd] | 2% |
49%[se] | 48% | - | - | 2%[sf] | 2% | ||||
Meredith College[1037] | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 705 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1%[sg] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC[1038] | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 579 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[1039] | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 0%[rs] | 8% |
Emerson College[1040] | Sep 16–18, 2020 | 717 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49%[ai] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1041] | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0%[dx] | 8%[ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters[1042] | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 3%[af] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1043] | Sep 12–15, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 0%[lw] | 5% |
Suffolk University/USA Today[1044] | Sep 11–14, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 42.8% | 46.2% | 4.8% | 0.2% | 1.8%[sh] | 4.2% |
SurveyUSA/WRAL TV[1045] | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 596 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 5% |
CNN/SSRS[1046] | Sep 9–13, 2020 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0%[si] | 2% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report[1047] | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 4%[sj] | 9% |
Trafalgar[1048] | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 47.8% | 46.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.5%[sk] | 2.5% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1049][20] | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 49%[ai] | 48% | - | - | 3%[sl] | – |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP[1050] | Aug 28 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1%[sm] | 4% |
Morning Consult[1051] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,592 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 47%[sn] | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1052] | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 442 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | 4%[so] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1053] | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.18% | 44% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 9% |
Monmouth University[1054] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 1%[sp] | 3% |
401 (LV)[sq] | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
401 (LV)[sr] | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
Fox News[1055] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 722 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0%[ss] | 2% |
804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 2%[st] | 3% | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios[977] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,914 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
East Carolina University[1056] | Aug 29–30, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 47% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 3% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,567 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1057] | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1058] | Aug 14–23, 2020 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 1%[do] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1059] | Aug 16–17, 2020 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.09% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,493 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
East Carolina University[1060] | Aug 12–13, 2020 | 1,255 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 3%[su] | 4% |
Emerson College[1061] | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 673 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51%[sv] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Harper Polling/Civitas[1062] | Aug 6–10, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 1%[sg] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC[1063] | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 493 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[1064][H] | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48%[al] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress[1065] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 1,170 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
44% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | 7% | ||||
Public Policy Polling/Giffords[1066][CF] | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 934 (V) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/CBS[1067] | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 2%[sw] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER[1068][CG] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 47% | – | – | 4%[sx] | 10%[ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[977] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,466 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC[1069][21] | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 284 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1070] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,504 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[1071][F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 884 (V) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 5% |
Cardinal Point Analytics[1072] | Jul 22–24, 2020 | 735 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 1% | – | – | 4% |
Zogby Analytics[1073] | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 44% | 4% | 1% | – | 11% |
Marist College/NBC News[1074] | Jul 14–22, 2020 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 51% | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1075] | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 919 (LV) | – | 42% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[1076][CH] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Cardinal Point Analytics[1077] | Jul 13–15, 2020 | 547 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 48% | 1% | – | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[1078] | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 655 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling[1079] | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 818 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[977] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,498 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 1% |
Change Research/CNBC[1080] | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 468 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
East Carolina University[1081] | Jun 22–25, 2020 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 7%[sy] | 4% |
Public Policy Polling[1082] | Jun 22–23, 2020 | 1,157 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 6% |
Fox News[1083] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3% | 45% | 47% | – | – | 5%[sz] | 3% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[1084] | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 653 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4%[ta] | 7% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN[1085] | Jun 17, 2020 | 631 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 43% | – | – | – | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1086] | Jun 14–17, 2020 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 40% | 46% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC[1087] | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 378 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling[1088][22] | Jun 2–3, 2020 | 913 (V) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic-NPL | Donald J. Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1089] | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 19, 2020 | 38.0% | 57.5% | 4.5% | Trump +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight[1090] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.7% | 56.0% | 5.3% | Trump +17.3 |
Average | 38.4% | 56.8% | 4.8% | Trump +18.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic-NPL | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1091] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 7% | 59%[tb] | 39% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1091] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 700 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1091] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 249 (LV) | – | 63% | 34% | – | – | 3% |
DFM Research/North Dakota Voters First[1092] | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 460 (A) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 37% | – | 4%[tc] | 7% |
DFM Research/North Dakota Voters First[1093] | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 56% | 37% | – | 3%[td] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1091] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 269 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1091] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 261 (LV) | – | 63% | 36% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1091] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 88 (LV) | – | 71% | 28% | – | – | 1% |
DFM Research[1094] | Mar 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 38% | – | 2% | 5% |
DFM Research[1095] | Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 | 600 (A) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 34% | – | 2% | 5% |
1892 Polling/Doug Burgum[1096][CI] | Jul 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | 34% | – | – | – |
DFM Research[1097] | May 14–18, 2019 | 400 (A) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 39% | – | 2% | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1098] | November 1–2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.7% | 47.6% | 5.7% | Trump +0.9 |
Real Clear Politics[1099] | October 28, 2020 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 6.4% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[1100] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.6% | 47.5% | 5.7% | Trump +0.8 |
Average | 46.6% | 47.5% | 5.9% | Trump +0.9 |
June 1, 2020 – October 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1101] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 6,025 (LV) | ± 2% | 51%[te] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1102] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 3%[ac] | – |
Research Co.[1103] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 4% |
Swayable[1104] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 516 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 52% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[1105] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 48% | – | – | 1%[do] | 1% |
Quinnipiac University[1106] | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 1,440 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 8% |
Survey Monkey/Tableau[1101] | Oct 20 – Nov 1 | 5,305 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | – | – | – | |
Trafalgar Group[1107] | Oct 30–31 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College[1108] | Oct 29–31 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49%[ai] | 50% | – | – | 2%[ah] | – |
Morning Consult[1109] | Oct 22–31 | 2,179 (LV) | ± 2% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel[1110] | Oct 29–30 | 660 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% | – |
Gravis Marketing[1111] | Oct 27–28 | 613 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1101] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,089 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[1112] | Oct 23–27 | 1,186 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 48% | – | – | 1%[do] | 8% |
Swayable[1113] | Oct 23–26 | 440 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 55% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Wick Surveys[1114] | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Citizen Data[1115] | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
Fox News[1116] | Oct 17–20 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 1%[tf] | 3% |
Morning Consult[1109] | Oct 11–20 | 2,271 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1117] | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2%[dv] | 4% |
Quinnipiac University[1118] | Oct 8–12 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1119][AZ] | Oct 8–11 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Morning Consult[1109] | Oct 2–11 | 2,283 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Baldwin Wallace University[1120] | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,009 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1%[tg] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1121] | Oct 2–6 | 661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0%[th] | 7%[ti] |
Trafalgar Group[1122] | Oct 1–3 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 1%[do] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS[1123] | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,114 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 1%[tj] | 5% |
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum[1124][J] | Sep 28 – Oct 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[tk] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1101] | Sep 1–30 | 4,012 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | 2% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[1125][CJ] | Sep 24–27 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Fox News[1126] | Sep 20–23 | 830 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[tl] | 2% |
907 (RV) | ± 3% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 2% | 2%[tm] | 3% | ||
Quinnipiac University[1127] | Sep 17–21 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Baldwin Wallace University[1128] | Sep 9–22 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1%[tg] | 7% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1129][AZ] | Sep 11–15 | 556 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48%[tn] | 45% | – | – | 5%[to] | 1% |
Morning Consult[1130] | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,963 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 50%[tp] | 45% | – | – | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum[1131][J] | Aug 31 – Sep 3 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 51% | 45% | – | – | 2%[tm] | 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1132][23] | Sep 1–2 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 47%[ai] | 51% | – | – | 3%[ac] | – |
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute[1133][CK] | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1101] | Aug 1–31 | 3,220 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[1134] | Aug 21–30 | 1,811 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 50% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1135][AZ] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | – | 4%[tq] | 2% |
Morning Consult[1134] | Aug 7–16 | 1,744 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
TargetSmart/Progress Ohio[1136][CL] | Jul 28 – Aug 3 | 1,249 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 8%[tr] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1101] | Jul 1–31 | 3,694 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[1137] | Jul 17–26 | 1,741 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS[1138] | Jul 21–24 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 2%[ts] | 7% |
Zogby Analytics[1139] | Jul 21–23 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 1% | – | 11% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC[1140][H] | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 2%[dv] | 2% |
University of Akron[1141] | Jun 24 – Jul 15 | 1,037 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 6%[tt] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1101] | Jun 8–30 | 1,610 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% |
Quinnipiac[1142] | Jun 18–22 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 46% | – | – | 4%[tu] | 5% |
Fox News[1143] | May 30 – Jun 2 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 45% | – | – | 6%[tv] | 6% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1144] | October 17–21, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 58.5% | 3.0% | Trump +20.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[1145] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 59.2% | 4.6% | Trump +23.0 |
Average | 37.4% | 58.9% | 3.7% | Trump +21.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1146] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,902 (LV) | ± 3% | 65%[tw] | 35% | – | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1146] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,191 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – |
SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6[1147] | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 5,466 (LV) | ± 1.33% | 59% | 37% | 1% | 2%[tx] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1146] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,174 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Amber Integrated[1148] | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 55% | 33% | 1% | 5%[ty] | 6% |
SoonerPoll/News9[1149][24] | Sep 2–8, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 60% | 35% | – | 1%[tx] | 4% |
SoonerPoll[1150] | Aug 13–31, 2020 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.03% | 60% | 35% | – | 2%[tz] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1146] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1146] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,410 (LV) | – | 64% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate[1151][CM] | Jul 29–30, 2020 | 572 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 36% | – | 5%[ua] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1146] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | 1% |
Amber Integrated[1152] | Jun 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 36% | – | 4%[ub] | 5% |
Amber Integrated[1153] | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 33% | – | 4% | 5% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass& Associates/OK Sooner[1154] | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 62% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1155] | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | 58.0% | 38.5% | 3.5% | Biden +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight[1156] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.7% | 37.4% | 3.9% | Biden +21.3 |
Average | 58.4% | 38.0% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Pacific Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1157] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,543 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 39%[uc] | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable[1158] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.3% | 37% | 60% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1157] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,422 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1157] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,109 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[1159] | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 944 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 56% | – | – | 3%[ud] | 2% |
DHM Research[1160] | Sep 3–8, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 51% | – | – | 6%[ue] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1157] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,648 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1157] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,890 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1157] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 872 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | – | – | – | 2% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1161] | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.4% | 45.7% | 4.9% | Biden +3.7 |
Real Clear Politics[1162] | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 3.8% | Biden +1.2 |
FiveThirtyEight[1163] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.2% | 45.6% | 4.2% | Biden +4.6 |
Average | 49.4% | 46.3% | 4.3% | Biden +3.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.[1164] | Nov 1–2 | 499 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49%[ai] | 48% | 1% | - | 0%[uf] | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1165] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 6,045 (LV) | ± 2% | 47%[ug] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1166] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47%[ai] | 50% | - | - | 1%[uh] | – |
Research Co.[1167] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 4% |
AYTM/Aspiration[1168] | Oct 30 – Nov 1 | 340 (LV) | – | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1169] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.71% | 46% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 2% |
Marist College/NBC[1170] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Monmouth University[1171] | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 502(RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 0%[ui] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44%[uj] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
45%[uk] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
Swayable[1172] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,107 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 50% | 2% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress[1173] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,417 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 52% | 2% | 0% | 0%[ul] | – |
Ipsos/Reuters[1174] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45%[o] | 51% | 1% | 1% | 2%[um] | – |
44%[un] | 51% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
46%[uo] | 52% | - | - | 2%[dv] | – | ||||
Trafalgar[1175] | Oct 30–31 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1%[do] | 4% |
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[1176][CN] | Oct 30–31 | 879 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[1177][H] | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48.7% | 47.4% | 1.3% | - | – | 2.6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1178] | Oct 26–31 | 1,862 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 49% | 2% | - | 0%[dx] | 5%[ol] |
Morning Consult[1179] | Oct 22–31 | 2,686 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College[1180] | Oct 29–30 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47%[ai] | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
AtlasIntel[1181] | Oct 29–30 | 672 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 49% | - | - | 2% | – |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart[1182] | Oct 25–30 | 998 (LV) | – | 42% | 56% | - | - | 2%[up] | – |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[1183][CO] | Oct 28–29 | 1,012 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1184] | Oct 26–29 | 2,125 (LV) | – | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill[1185] | Oct 26–29 | 901 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC/Washington Post[1186] | Oct 24–29 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | - | 0%[uq] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[1187] | Oct 23–28 | 419 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 4%[ur] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1165] | Oct 1–28 | 10,599 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | - |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[1188] | Oct 25–27 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45%[o] | 51% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
44%[dz] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
47%[ea] | 49% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
Quinnipiac University[1189] | Oct 23–27 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 1%[do] | 4% |
Swayable[1190] | Oct 23–26 | 491 (LV) | ± 6% | 46% | 52% | 2% | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[1191] | Oct 23–26 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1192] | Oct 20–26 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44%[o] | 51% | 3% | 0% | 1%[us] | – |
45%[un] | 50% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[1193][H] | Oct 25 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48.5% | 45.5% | 3.3% | - | – | 2.8% |
Trafalgar Group[1194] | Oct 24–25 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | 1%[do] | 1% |
Wick Surveys[1195] | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College[1196] | Oct 19–25 | 558 (LV) | ± 5% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1%[ut] | 3% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[1197] | Oct 17–25 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.64% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing[1198] | Oct 23 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[1199][CP] | Oct 21–22 | 980 (V) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins[1200] | Oct 17–21 | 1,577 (A) | 3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[1201] | Oct 13–21 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3%[uu] | – |
Citizen Data[1202] | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 44% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
CNN/SSRS[1203] | Oct 15–20 | 843 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 53% | 2% | - | 1%[uv] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[1204] | Oct 13–20 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2%[uw] | 4% |
Morning Consult[1179] | Oct 11–20 | 2,563 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News[1205] | Oct 18–19 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1%[ux] | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1206] | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 3% |
Quinnipiac University[1207] | Oct 16–19 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 1%[do] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC[1208] | Oct 16–19 | 574 (LV)[al] | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today[1209][25] | Oct 15–19 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 4%[uy] | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1210] | Oct 13–19 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45%[o] | 49% | 2% | 0% | 3%[uz] | – |
45%[un] | 49% | - | - | 3%[af] | 4% | ||||
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[1211][AY] | Oct 13–15 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 46% | 48% | 3% | - | 2%[ah] | 2% |
HarrisX/The Hill[1212] | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[1213][H] | Oct 12–13 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | - | – | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 10–13 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43%[al] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[1214] | Oct 10–12 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 3% | - | 3%[cv] | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[1215] | Oct 7–12 | 800 (LV) | – | 43%[o] | 49% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% |
42%[dz] | 50% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
45%[ea] | 47% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1216][AZ] | Oct 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1217] | Oct 6–11 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45%[o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2%[va] | – |
44%[un] | 51% | - | - | 1%[vb] | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult[1218] | Oct 2–11 | 2,610 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | Oct 9–10 | 1,145 (LV) | – | 44%[al] | 49% | 1% | - | – | – |
Whitman Insight Strategies[1219] | Oct 5–9 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1%[do] | 3% |
Baldwin Wallace University[1220] | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0%[vc] | 4% |
YouGov/CCES[1221] | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 2,703 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1222] | Oct 4–6 | 927 (LV) | ± 3.22% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Emerson College[1223] | Oct 4–5 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47%[ai] | 51% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
Quinnipiac University[1224] | Oct 1–5 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 1%[do] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1225] | Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2%[r] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[1226] | Oct 2–4 | 468 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Monmouth University[1227] | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 54% | 1% | - | 0%[ui] | 2% |
500 (LV) | 43%[uj] | 54% | - | - | – | – | |||
45%[uk] | 53% | - | - | – | – | ||||
YouGov/CBS[1228] | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,287 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2%[vd] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1229] | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 706 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 49% | 3% | - | 0%[dx] | 5%[ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1165] | Sep 1–30 | 4,613 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
ABC News/Washington Post[1230] | Sep 21–26 | 567 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 0%[ve] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1231] | Sep 25–27 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 49% | 2% | - | 0%[dx] | 8%[ol] |
TIPP/The Federalist[1232] | Sep 24–26 | 774 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1%[vf] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1233] | Sep 23–25 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.08% | 44% | 50% | 0% | – | 1%[aw] | 5% |
Fox News[1234] | Sep 20–23 | 856 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 51% | 2% | – | 1%[ux] | 2% |
910 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | 2% | – | 2%[vg] | 3% | ||
Baldwin Wallace University[1235] | Sep 9–22 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1%[vh] | 5% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[1236][AY] | Sep 18–21 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2%[ah] | 2% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal[1237] | Sep 10–21 | 642 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1238] | Sep 18–20 | 579 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College[1239] | Sep 14–20 | 480 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[1240][CQ] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
CPEC[1241][CR] | Sep 15–17 | 830 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1%[vi] | 4% |
Trafalgar Group (R)[1242] | Sep 15–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2%[ah] | 2% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1243] | Sep 11–16 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1244][AZ] | Sep 11–15 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 1%[do] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1245] | Sep 12–14 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3.04% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0%[vj] | 5% |
Climate Nexus[1246] | Sep 8–11 | 659 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 3%[vk] | 6% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP[1247] | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 1%[vl] | 4% |
Marist College/NBC News[1248] | Aug 31 – Sep 7 | 771 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Morning Consult[1249] | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 2,227 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45%[vm] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1250] | Sep 4–6 | 829 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | 4%[vn] | – |
TargetSmart[1251] | Sep 3–6 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.[1252] | Aug 26 – Sep 4 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 44% | - | - | 6%[vo] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1253] | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.02% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Quinnipiac[1254] | Aug 28 – Sep 1 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1%[do] | 3% |
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute[1255][CS] | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Monmouth University[1256] | Aug 28–31 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1%[vp] | 4% |
400 (LV) | 46%[vq] | 49% | - | - | 2% | 3% | |||
47%[vr] | 48% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[1257][AY] | Aug 26–31 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1165] | Aug 1–31 | 3,531 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 21–30 | 2,158 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1258] | Aug 25–27 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 48%[vs] | 48% | - | - | 4%[vt] | – |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[1259][CT] | Aug 20–24 | 971 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Franklin & Marshall College[1260] | Aug 17–24 | 681 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 42%[ai] | 50% | - | - | 3%[vu] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC[1261] | Aug 21–23 | 984 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020 /League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club[1262][CU] | Aug 13–19 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42%[o] | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
43%[vv] | 53% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies[1263] | Aug 16–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 8% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1264][AZ] | Aug 13–17 | 617 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[1265] | Aug 11–17 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3%[vw] | 3% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 7–16 | 1,777 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College[1266] | Aug 8–10 | 843 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47%[vx] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1267] | Aug 7–9 | 456 (RV) | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS[1268] | Aug 4–7 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 3%[vy] | 5% |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[1269][CV] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[1270] | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 742 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2%[vz] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1165] | Jul 1–31 | 4,208 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC[1271][26] | Jul 24–26 | 382 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College[1272] | Jul 20–26 | 667 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 6% |
Morning Consult[1273] | Jul 17–26 | 2,092 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[1274][27] | Jul 22–24 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Zogby Analytics[1275] | Jul 21–23 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 44% | 4% | 2% | - | 8% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[1276][AY] | Jul 17–22 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1277] | Jul 19–21 | 1,016 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 2%[wa] | 8% |
Fox News[1278] | Jul 18–20 | 793 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 5%[wb] | 6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[1279][H] | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2%[dv] | 1% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[1280][CW] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
Monmouth University[1281] | Jul 9–13 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 3%[wc] | 4% |
401 (LV) | 42%[vq] | 52% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
44%[vr] | 51% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
Change Research/CNBC[1282] | Jul 10–12 | 743 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[1283] | Jun 29 – Jul 2 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6%[wd] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1165] | Jun 8–30 | 2,184 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC[1284] | Jun 26–28 | 760 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43[1285] | Jun 15–23 | 715 (LV) | – | 41% | 46% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1286] | Jun 14–16 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 39% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1%[we] | 9% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1287] | Jun 8–16 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 50% | - | - | 3%[wf] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC[1288] | Jun 12–14 | 491 (LV)[al] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3%[wg] | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[1289][AY] | Jun 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | - | - | – | 4% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins[1200] | Jun 6–11 | 1,221 (A) | 3.6% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins[1200] | May 30 – Jun 2 | 2,045 (A) | 2.4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC[1290] | May 29–31 | 579 (LV)[al] | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
Morning Consult[1273] | May 17–26 | 2,120 (LV) | – | 44%[al] | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1291] | May 10–14 | 963 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 2%[wh] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[1292][AY] | May 9–13 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 4% |
Harper Polling (R)[1293] | Apr 21–26 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[1294][CX] | Apr 20–21 | 1,251 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Fox News[1295] | Apr 18–21 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos[1296] | Apr 15–20 | 578 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Research/Fox 43[1297] | Apr 14–20 | 693 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[1298][AY] | Apr 16–18 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins[1200] | Apr 4–8 | 1,912 (A) | 2.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes[755] | Mar 17–25 | 973 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | 9% |
Change Research[1299] | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | 4% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[1300][AY] | Mar 19–21 | 600 (RV) | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins[1200] | Mar 14–18 | 1,589 (A) | 2.7% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News[760] | Mar 6–8 | 725 (RV) | – | 40% | 46% | - | - | 5%[wi] | 8% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[762] | Mar 5–7 | 533 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins[1200] | Feb 27 – Mar 3 | 2,462 (A) | 2.2% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 7% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[1301] | Feb 12–20 | 424 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
YouGov[1302] | Feb 11–20 | 1,171 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[1303] | Feb 12–18 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 6%[wj] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute[765] | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[1304] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 62.9% | 32.4% | 4.7% | Biden +30.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1305] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 566 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 36%[wk] | 62% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1305] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 910 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1305] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 351 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | – | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1305] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 208 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1305] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 253 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1305] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 176 (LV) | – | 40% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald J. Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1306] | October 15, 2020 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.3% | 50.3% | 6.4% | Trump +7.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[1307] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.5% | 51.6% | 3.9% | Trump +7.1 |
Average | 43.9% | 51.0% | 5.1% | Trump +7.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Optimus[1308] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 39% | – | – | 2%[wl] | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1309] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,485 (LV) | ± 3% | 56%[wm] | 42% | – | – | – | – |
Data For Progress[1310] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 53% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 0%[wn] | – |
Swayable[1311] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 50% | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult[1312] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 904 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1309] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,725 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress[1313] | Oct 22–27, 2020 | 1,196 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
Starboard Communications[1314] | Oct 26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | 5% |
East Carolina University[1315] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 52% | 44% | – | – | 3%[wo] | 1% |
Morning Consult[1312] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 926 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
New York Times/Siena College[1316][28] | Oct 9–14, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 1%[wp] | 6%[wq] |
Data for Progress[1317] | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% |
Morning Consult[1312] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 903 (LV) | ± 3% | 54% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1309] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,833 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – | 2% |
GBAO Strategies/DSCC[1318][CY] | Sep 24–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress (D)[1319] | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47%[wr] | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 8% |
50%[ws] | 45% | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
Quinnipiac University[1320] | Sep 23–27, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 47% | – | – | 1%[wt] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS[1321] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,080 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 2%[wu] | 4% |
Morning Consult[1322] | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 764 (LV) | ± (3% – 4%) | 50%[wv] | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[1323] | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 45% | – | – | 0%[ww] | 4% |
Morning Consult[1324] | Sep 2–11, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1324] | Aug 23 – Sep 1, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 52% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1309] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,326 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[1324] | Aug 13–22, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 51% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1324] | Aug 3–12, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[1325] | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 914 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 42% | – | – | 4%[wx] | 7% |
Morning Consult[1326] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 741 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49%[wy] | 44% | – | – | 3%[wz] | 4% |
Morning Consult[1324] | Jul 23 – Aug 1, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1309] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,700 (LV) | – | 53% | 44% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[1324] | Jul 13–22, 2020 | ~764 (LV) | ± (3%–4%) | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
ALG Research/Lindsey Must Go[1327][CZ] | Jul 15–20, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
Gravis Marketing[1328][29] | Jul 17, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
brilliant corners Research & Strategies/Jaime Harrison[1329][DA] | Jul 13–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1309] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 863 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | – | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[1330] | May 23–26, 2020 | 591 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 5%[xa] | 1% |
AtlasIntel[1331] | Feb 25–28, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 42% | – | – | 11% | – |
East Carolina University[1332] | Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 | 1,756 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 52% | 40% | – | – | – | 8% |
Change Research[1333] | Jun 11–14, 2019 | 2,312 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 54% | 38% | 3%[xb] | 1%[xb] | – | – |
Emerson College[1334] | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1335] | October 17–25, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 52.5% | 5.5% | Trump +10.5 |
FiveThirtyEight[1336] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.0% | 54.5% | 6.5% | Trump +15.4 |
Average | 40.5% | 53.5% | 6.0% | Trump +13.0 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1337] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 606 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 63%[xc] | 36% | – | – | – |
Nielson Brothers Polling[1338] | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 484 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 55% | 40% | 3% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1337] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,098 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon[1339] | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 51% | 40% | – | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1337] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1337] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 277 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1337] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 396 (LV) | – | 62% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1337] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 160 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | 2% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolitics[1340] | Jan 28, 2020 – May 22, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 39.0% | 53.0% | 8.0% | Trump +14.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[1341] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.4% | 55.1% | 3.5% | Trump +13.7 |
Average | 40.2% | 54.1% | 5.7% | Trump +13.9 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[dk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1342] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,342 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54%[xd] | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable[1343] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 58% | 41% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1342] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,099 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1342] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,329 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1342] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,796 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1342] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,481 (LV) | – | 61% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1342] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – | 2% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University[1344] | May 5–22, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 5%[xe] | 2% |
East Tennessee State University[1345] | Apr 22 – May 1, 2020 | 536 (LV) | – | 53% | 36% | – | – | 6% | 5% |
Mason-Dixon[1346] | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | – | – | – | 6% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1347] | Oct 29, 2020 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.5% | 48.8% | 3.7% | Trump +1.3 |
Real Clear Politics[1348] | October 20–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.5% | 47.8% | 5.7% | Trump +1.3 |
FiveThirtyEight[1349] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.4% | 48.6% | 4.0% | Trump +1.1 |
Average | 47.1% | 48.4% | 4.5% | Trump +1.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[xf] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1350] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 9,226 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 51%[xg] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable[1351] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,151 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Data For Progress[1352] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 926 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0%[xh] | – |
AtlasIntel[1353] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% | – |
Emerson College[1354] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49%[ai] | 48% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
Morning Consult[1355] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 3,267 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling[1356] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 775 (V) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – | 2% |
Gravis Marketing[1357] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 45% | – | – | – | 5% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[1358] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50%[xi] | 46% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 2% |
48%[xj] | 48% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 2% | ||||
52%[xk] | 44% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 2% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1350] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 15,145 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable[1359] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 552 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 49% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/UMass Amherst[1360] | Oct 20–26, 2020 | 873 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[xl] | 1% |
Data for Progress (D)[1361] | Oct 22–25, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1362] | Oct 20–25, 2020 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 0% | 2%[xm] | 5%[xn] |
Univision/University of Houston/LatinoDecisions/North Star Opinion Research[1363] | Oct 17–25, 2020 | 758 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 3%[xo] | 2% |
Citizen Data[1364] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/University of Houston[1365] | Oct 13–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News[1366] | Oct 13–20, 2020 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47%[ai] | 49% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult[1355] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 3,347 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[1367] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 1%[do] | 5% |
Data for Progress (D)[1368] | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46%[ai] | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
Morning Consult[1369][30] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 3,455 (LV) | ± 1.7% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[1370][DB] | Oct 7–8, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 1% |
YouGov/CCES[1371] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 2,947 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1372] | Sep 28 – Oct 7, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR[1373] | Oct 5–6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[1374] | Oct 3–6, 2020 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Data For Progress (D)[1375] | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 1,949 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[1376] | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.25% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 2% | 1%[do] | – |
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC[1377][DC] | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 848 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1350] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 13,395 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[1378][DD] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1372] | Sep 18–27, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[1379][31] Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[DE] | Sep 25–26, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell[1380] | Sep 18–25, 2020 | 882 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49%[xp] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1%[xq] | 1% |
50%[xr] | 46% | – | – | 2%[xs] | 2% | ||||
Data For Progress[1381][DF] | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 726 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | – | – | – | 9% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1382] | Sep 16–22, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 0%[xt] | 9%[xn] |
Quinnipiac University[1383] | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 45% | – | – | No voters | 4% |
YouGov/CBS[1384] | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | – | – | 2%[xu] | 4% |
Morning Consult[1372] | Sep 8–17, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1385] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 2,829 (LV) | ± 2% | 46%[xv] | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords[1386][DG] | Sep 1–2, 2020 | 743 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 5% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News[1387] | Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 49%[ai] | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1350] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,607 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 2,632 (LV) | ± 2% | 48%[xv] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[1388][DH] | Aug 20–25, 2020 | 906 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 0% | – | 0%[xw] | 5% |
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance[1389] | Aug 20–25, 2020 | 2,295 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[1390][32][DI] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 764 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | 5% |
Morning Consult[1372] | Aug 13–22, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[100] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 2,559 (LV) | ± 2% | 47%[xx] | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas[1391][DJ] | Aug 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute[1392] | Aug 4–13, 2020 | 846 (RV) | – | 48% | 41% | 1% | 1% | – | 10.2% |
– (LV)[DK] | 50% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | 5% | |||
Trafalgar Group (R)[1393] | Aug 1–5, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 43% | 2% | – | 2%[xy] | 3% |
Morning Consult[1372] | Aug 3–12, 2020 | ~2,700 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1394] | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 2,576 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46%[xv] | 47% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1350] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,721 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[1395] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 2,685 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 45%[xx] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1395][33] | Jul 16–25, 2020 | ≈2,700 (LV)[xz] | ± 2.0% | 45% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[1396][DL] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | 6% |
Quinnipiac University[1397] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 7%[ya] | 4% |
Morning Consult[1395] | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[xz] | – | 46% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS[1398] | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 4%[yb] | 6% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN[1399] | Jul 7, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[1400] | Jun 29 – Jul 7, 2020 | 1,677 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 48% | – | – | 4% | 5% |
Morning Consult[1395] | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV)[xz] | – | 46% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1350] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 6,669 (LV) | – | 51% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project[1401] | Jun 19–29, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.89% | 48% | 44% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[1402][34] | Jun 24–25, 2020 | 729 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 5% |
Morning Consult[1395] | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[xz] | – | 47% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Fox News[1403] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 5%[yc] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas[1404][35][DM] | Jun 18–19, 2020 | 907 (V) | ± 3% | 48% | 46% | – | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult[1395] | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[xz] | – | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1395] | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV)[xz] | – | 48% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[1405][DN] | Jun 2–3, 2020 | 683 (V) | – | 48% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
Quinnipiac[1406] | May 28 – Jun 1, 2020 | 1,166 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 6%[yd] | 7% |
Morning Consult[1395] | May 17–26, 2020 | 2,551 (LV) | – | 50%[xv] | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1395] | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[xz] | – | 50% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[1395] | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[xz] | – | 49% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College[1407] | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 52%[ye] | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling[1408] | Apr 27–28, 2020 | 1,032 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | 7% |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[1409] | Apr 18–27, 2020 | 1,183 (RV) | ± 2.85% | 43% | 43% | – | – | 5% | 9% |
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[1410] | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 7% |
AtlasIntel[1411] | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | – | – | 11% | – |
NBC News/Marist College[1412] | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 2,409 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 5% |
CNN/SSRS[1413] | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 3%[yf] | 2% |
Univision[1414] | Feb 21–26, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler[1415] | Feb 17–26, 2020 | 1,221 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 11% | – |
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune[1416] | Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.83% | 47% | 44% | – | – | – | 10% |
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News[1417] | Jan 21–30, 2020 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.24% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 10%[yg] | – |
Data For Progress[1418][DO] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | – | 54% | 40% | – | – | 3%[yh] | 3% |
Texas Lyceum[1419] | Jan 10–19, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 46% | – | – | – | 3% |
CNN/SSRS[1420] | Dec 4–9, 2019 | 1,003 (RV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | 2%[yi] | 3% |
Beacon Research (R)[1421] | Nov 9–21, 2019 | 1,601 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
University of Texas at Tyler[1422] | Nov 5–14, 2019 | 1,093 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 39% | – | – | – | 16% |
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[1423] | Oct 18–27, 2019 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | – | – | 9%[yj] | 6% |
University of Texas at Tyler[1424] | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,199 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 40% | – | – | 13% | 9% |
Univision[1425] | Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 | 1,004 (RV) | – | 43% | 47% | – | – | – | 10% |
Climate Nexus[1426] | Aug 20–25, 2019 | 1,660 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 43% | – | – | – | 9% |
University of Texas at Tyler[1427] | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 1,261 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 41% | – | – | 14% | 8% |
Emerson[1428] | Aug 1–3, 2019 | 1,033 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
University of Texas at Tyler[1429] | Jul 24–27, 2019 | 1,414 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 37% | 37% | – | – | 12% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University[1430] | May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 | 1,159 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
WPA Intelligence[1431] | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 49% | 42% | – | – | – | 7% |
Emerson College[1432] | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50%[ye] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[1433] | Feb 20–25, 2019 | 1,222 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 1% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[1434][DP] | Feb 13–14, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1435] | October 23–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.0% | 50.5% | 8.5% | Trump +9.5 |
FiveThirtyEight[1436] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.1% | 51.9% | 6.0% | Trump +9.8 |
Average | 41.6% | 51.2% | 7.2% | Trump +9.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[yk] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1437] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,586 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55%[yl] | 43% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1437] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,783 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[1438] | Oct 15–24, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 44% | – | – | 5%[ym] | – |
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[1439] | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 38% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[1440] | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 40% | – | – | 10% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1437] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,192 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | 2% |
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[1441] | Sep 7–12, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1437] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 893 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[1442] | Jul 27 – Aug 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 31% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1437] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1437] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 1% |
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2[1443] | May 9–15, 2020 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 41% | – | – | 9%[yn] | 5% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[1444] | Apr 15–21, 2020 | 964 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 32% | – | – | 8% | 9% |
Y2 Analytics[1445] | Mar 21–30, 2020 | 1,266 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 41% | – | – | 7% | 5% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[1446] | Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 33% | – | – | 8%[yo] | 8% |
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[1447] | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 31% | – | – | 13%[yp] | 7% |
Y2 Analytics[1448] | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 149 (RV) | – | 36% | 35% | – | – | 14%[yq] | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[1449] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 66.5% | 27.8% | 5.7% | Biden +38.7 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[yr] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1450] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 26%[ys] | 71% | - | - | – | – |
co/efficient/Scott Milne for Lt. Governor[1451][DQ] | Oct 19–29, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.05% | 32% | 62% | - | - | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1450] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,167 (LV) | – | 29% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1450] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 427 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Braun Research/VPR[1452] | Sep 3–15, 2020 | 582 (LV) | ± 4% | 32% | 56% | - | - | 8%[yt] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1450] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 236 (LV) | – | 29% | 70% | - | - | – | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1450] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 368 (LV) | – | 27% | 71% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1450] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 113 (LV) | – | 20% | 75% | - | - | – | 5% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1453] | October 15–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 52.8% | 41.0% | 6.2% | Biden +11.8 |
FiveThirtyEight[1454] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.7% | 41.9% | 4.4% | Biden +11.8 |
Average | 53.1% | 41.5% | 5.3% | Biden +11.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[yu] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1455] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 4,550 (LV) | ± 2% | 41%[yv] | 57% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable[1456] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 467 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 39% | 59% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
Data for Progress[1457] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1%[yw] | – |
Roanoke College[1458] | Oct 23–29, 2020 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1455] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,663 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Christopher Newport University[1459] | Oct 15–27, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | 2%[yx] | 4% |
Swayable[1460] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 351 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 44% | 55% | 1% | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University[1461] | Oct 13–22, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.93% | 39% | 51% | - | - | 2%[yy] | 8%[yz] |
Schar School/Washington Post[1462] | Oct 13–19, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 52% | 3% | - | 0%[za] | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[1463] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,231 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 55% | - | - | 3%[zb] | 1% |
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College[1464] | Sep 30 – Oct 12, 2020 | 602 (LV) | – | 39%[zc] | 54% | 4% | - | - | 4% |
Survey Monkey/Tableau[1465] | Sep 15 – Oct 12, 2020 | 4,248 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia[1466][DR] | Oct 9–11, 2020 | 607 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1455] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,882 (LV) | – | 42% | 56% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia[1467][36][DR] | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Christopher Newport University[1468] | Sep 9–21, 2020 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 2%[zd] | 7% |
Virginia Commonwealth University[1469] | Aug 28 – Sep 7, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 6.22% | 39% | 52% | - | - | 1%[ze] | 8%[yz] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1455] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,626 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | - | – | 2% |
Roanoke College[1470] | Aug 9–22, 2020 | 566 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 53% | - | - | 3%[zf] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1455] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,178 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[1471] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University[1472] | Jul 11–19, 2020 | 725 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1455] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,619 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | - | - | – | 1% |
Morning Consult[1471] | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | – | 42%[zg] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Roanoke College[1473] | May 3–16, 2020 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Virginia Commonwealth University[1474] | Mar 25 – Apr 8, 2020 | 812 (A) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
Hampton University[1475] | Feb 25–28, 2020 | 768 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Roanoke College[1476] | Feb 9–18, 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon[1477] | Dec 12–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Virginia Commonwealth University[1478] | Dec 2–13, 2019 | 728 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5%[yz] |
Virginia Commonwealth University[1479] | Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 | 645 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | 4%[yz] |
University of Mary Washington/Research America[1480] | Sep 3–15, 2019 | 1,009 (A) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 55% | - | - | 1% | 4% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1481] | October 8–15, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.5% | 7.0% | Biden +22.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[1482] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 59.4% | 36.4% | 4.2% | Biden +23.0 |
Average | 58.5% | 36.0% | 5.6% | Biden +22.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[zh] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1483] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 4,142 (LV) | ± 2% | 35%[zi] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable[1484] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 489 (LV) | ± 6% | 39% | 59% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1483] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,424 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | – |
PPP/NPI[1485] | Oct 14–15, 2020 | 610 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV[1486] | Oct 8–10, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 34% | 55% | – | – | 5%[zj] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1483] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 7,953 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | – | – | – | 2% |
Strategies 360[1487] | Sep 8–14, 2020 | 501 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 58% | – | – | – | 7%[zk] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1483] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 7,489 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1483] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 7,691 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV[1488] | Jul 22–27, 2020 | 534 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 28% | 62% | – | – | 6%[zl] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1483] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 3,939 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/NPI[1489] | May 19–20, 2020 | 1,070 (LV) | ± 3% | 37% | 59% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV[1490] | May 16–19, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 31% | 57% | – | – | 5%[zm] | 7% |
EMC Research[1491] | Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2020 | 583 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 52% | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA/KING-TV[1492] | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 992 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 57% | – | – | – | 9% |
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate[1493] | Oct 22–23, 2019 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 59% | – | – | – | 3% |
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics[28] | Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 | 1,265 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 31% | 52% | – | – | – | 17% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1494] | October 13–23, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 55.5% | 6.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[1495] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 33.5% | 62.1% | 4.4% | Trump +28.6 |
Average | 36.0% | 58.8% | 5.2% | Trump +22.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[zn] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Mountain | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1496] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 816 (LV) | ± 5% | 67%[zo] | 32% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1496] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,359 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | – | – | – | – |
Triton Polling and Research/WMOV[1497] | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 544 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 58% | 38% | – | – | – | 4% |
Research America Inc./West Virginia Metro News[1498] | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 53% | 39% | 4% | 1% | – | 3% |
Triton Polling & Research/WMOV[1499] | Sep 29–30, 2020[zp] | 525 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 56% | 38% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1496] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 516 (LV) | – | 62% | 36% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1496] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 496 (LV) | – | 65% | 32% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1496] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 494 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1496] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 264 (LV) | – | 72% | 27% | – | – | – | 1% |
WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth[1500][DS] | Jan 7–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 66% | 31% | – | – | – | 3% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[1501] | November 1–2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.8% | 52.0% | 5.2% | Biden +9.2 |
Real Clear Politics[1502] | October 21 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.3% | 51.0% | 4.7% | Biden +6.7 |
FiveThirtyEight[1503] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.7% | 52.1% | 4.2% | Biden +8.4 |
Average | 43.6% | 51.7% | 4.7% | Biden +8.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[zq] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1504] | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 2,814 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44%[zr] | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co.[1505] | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 1%[do] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC[1506] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 553 (LV) | ± 4.17% | 45% | 53% | 2% | - | – | 0% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos[1507] | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1%[do] | 0% |
Swayable[1508] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 253 (LV) | ± 8.2% | 45% | 55% | 1% | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters[1509] | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 696 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43%[o] | 53% | 2% | 0% | 2%[zs] | – |
43%[zt] | 53% | - | - | 2%[r] | 2% | ||||
45%[zu] | 53% | - | - | 2%[zv] | – | ||||
AtlasIntel[1510] | Oct 30–31 | 781 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[1511][H] | Oct 29–31 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2%[zw] | 1% |
Morning Consult[1512] | Oct 22–31 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3% | 41% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College[1513] | Oct 29–30 | 751 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45%[ai] | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
AtlasIntel[1514] | Oct 29–30 | 672 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 49% | - | - | 2% | – |
CNN/SSRS[1515] | Oct 29–30 | 873 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | 0%[zx] | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1516] | Oct 26–30 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 52% | 2% | - | 1%[zy] | 4%[xn] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1517] | Oct 26–29 | 800 (LV) | – | 41% | 53% | 2% | - | 1% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1504] | Oct 1–28 | 4,569 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable[1518] | Oct 23–26 | 313 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 45% | 54% | 1% | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters[1519] | Oct 20–26 | 664 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44%[o] | 53% | 2% | 1% | 3%[rm] | – |
44%[zt] | 53% | - | - | 2%[r] | 2% | ||||
Trafalgar Group[1520] | Oct 24–25 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 47% | 47% | 3% | - | 1%[do] | 1% |
Marquette Law School[1521] | Oct 21–25 | 749 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 2% | - | 7%[zz] | 0% |
ABC/Washington Post[1522] | Oct 20–25 | 809 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 57% | 2% | - | 1%[aaa] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing[1523] | Oct 23 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | 3% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[1524] | Oct 13–21 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.07% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3%[aab] | – |
Fox News[1525] | Oct 17–20 | 1,037 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 49% | 2% | - | 1%[aac] | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[1526] | Oct 14–20 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44%[o] | 50% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 4% |
42%[aad] | 52% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 4% | ||||
45%[aae] | 48% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult[1512] | Oct 11–20 | 1,038 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[1527][H] | Oct 16–19 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 45% | 5% | - | 3%[aaf] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[1528] | Oct 16–19 | 447 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Latino Decisions/DFER[1529][DT] | Oct 14–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1530] | Oct 13–19 | 663 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45%[o] | 51% | 2% | 0% | 3%[aag] | – |
43%[zt] | 51% | - | - | 3%[af] | 3% | ||||
Trafalgar Group[1531] | Oct 14–16 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 46% | 48% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/CBS[1532] | Oct 13–16 | 1,112 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3%[ap] | 2% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[1533][AY] | Oct 11–13 | 1,043 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | 2%[ah] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1534] | Oct 10–13 | 691 (LV) | – | 40%[al] | 53% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America[1535] | Oct 10–13 | 200 (LV) | – | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1536][AZ] | Oct 8–11 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 53% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1537] | Oct 8–11 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 51% | 3% | - | 0%[aah] | 5%[xn] |
Ipsos/Reuters[1538] | Oct 6–11 | 577 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45%[o] | 51% | 2% | 0% | 1%[rm] | – |
44%[zt] | 51% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult[1539] | Oct 2–11 | 1,067 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1534] | Oct 9–10 | 613 (LV) | – | 45%[al] | 49% | 2% | - | – | – |
Baldwin Wallace University[1540] | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1%[tg] | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1541] | Oct 4–7 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.74% | 41% | 51% | 1% | - | 1%[aw] | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1542] | Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC[1543] | Oct 2–4 | 442 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School[1544][1545] | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 805 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 5% | - | 7%[aai] | 2% |
700 (LV) | 42% | 47% | 4% | - | 2%[aaj] | 1% | |||
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1504] | Sep 1–30 | 3,806 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[1546][AY] | Sep 25–28 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 44% | 47% | 3% | - | 2%[aak] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1547] | Sep 23–27 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.81% | 43% | 48% | 2% | - | 0%[lw] | 7% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[1548][H] | Sep 23–26 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group (R)[1549] | Sep 22–24 | 1,189 (LV) | ± 2.76% | 45% | 48% | 3% | - | 2%[aak] | 3% |
Marist College/NBC[1550] | Sep 20–24 | 727 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 54% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
Baldwin Wallace University[1551] | Sep 9–22 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1%[tg] | 6% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal[1552] | Sep 10–21 | 664 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1553] | Sep 18–20 | 571 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[1554][DU] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1555] | Sep 12–16 | 636 (LV) | ± 3.89% | 41% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 10% |
Ipsos/Reuters[1556] | Sep 11–16 | 609 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | 2%[r] | 6% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Sep 7–16 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42%[aal] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1558][AZ] | Sep 11–15 | 549 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44%[al] | 51% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 2% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Sep 6–15 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS[1559] | Sep 9–13 | 816 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | 3% | - | 1%[aam] | 1% |
ABC/Washington Post[1560] | Sep 8–13 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 1%[aan] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot[1561] | Sep 8–10 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 43% | 48% | 2% | 0% | 2%[aao] | 6%[xn] |
Emerson College[1562] | Sep 6–8 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45%[ai] | 52% | - | - | 4%[aap] | – |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP[1563] | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1%[aaq] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC[1564] | Sep 4–6 | 501 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 6%[aar] | – |
Morning Consult[1557] | Aug 27 – Sep 5 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS[1565] | Sep 2–4 | 978 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2%[aas] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1566] | Aug 30 – Sep 4 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.78% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 0%[lw] | 6% |
Marquette Law School[1567] | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 688 (LV) | – | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 2%[aat] | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1568] | Sep 1–2 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 3%[aau] | 2% |
Fox News[1569] | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | 2% | – | 1%[aav] | 5% |
853 (RV) | ± 3% | 41% | 49% | 2% | – | 2%[aaw] | 5% | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1504] | Aug 1–31 | 1,913 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Opinium/The Guardian[1570][1571] | Aug 21–28 | 700 (LV) | – | 40% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Aug 17–26 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1572] | Aug 21–23 | 925 (LV) | – | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[1573] | Aug 14–23 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46% | 45% | 4% | - | 2%[aax] | 3% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[1574][AY] | Aug 17–20 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | 4% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies[1575] | Aug 13–17 | 672 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2%[aay] | 7% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[1576][AZ] | Aug 13–17 | 753 (RV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 2% |
Morning Consult[1577] | Aug 7–16 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43%[aaz] | 49% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 5% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Aug 4–13 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1578] | Aug 6–9 | 384 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School[1579] | Aug 4–9 | 694 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3%[aba] | 1% |
YouGov/CBS[1580] | Aug 4–7 | 994 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 3%[ap] | 7% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[1581][H] | Aug 5–6 | 750 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[1582] | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 734 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 4%[abb] | 4% |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[1583][DV] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Jul 25 – Aug 3 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research[1584] | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1504] | Jul 1–31 | 2,173 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[1585][AY] | Jul 22–27 | 600 (LV) | – | 38% | 52% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC[1586][1587] | Jul 24–26 | 392 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1588] | Jul 19–24 | 742 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 3%[abc] | 15% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Jul 15–24 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[1589] | Jul 22 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 7% |
Global Strategy Group (D)[1590] | Jul 11–17 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | - | - | 2%[abd] | 4%[xn] |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[1591][DW] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Jul 5–14 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1592] | Jul 10–12 | 601 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult[1557] | Jun 25 – Jul 4 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1504] | Jun 8–30 | 813 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC[1593] | Jun 26–28 | 502 (LV)[al] | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[1594] | Jun 25–26 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 8%[abe] | 2% |
Ogden & Fry[1595] | Jun 20–24 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.48% | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Jun 15–24 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1596] | Jun 14–19 | 846 (LV) | ± 3.37% | 36% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 2%[abf] | 15% |
Marquette Law School[1597] | Jun 14–18 | 686 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3%[aba] | 1% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)[1598] | Jun 12–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 55% | - | - | – | 6% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[1599] | Jun 8–15 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 49% | - | - | 5%[abg] | 8% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Jun 5–14 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC[1600] | Jun 12–14 | 231 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | 5%[abh] | – |
Morning Consult[1557] | May 26 – Jun 4 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News[1601] | May 30 – Jun 2 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6%[abi] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC[1602] | May 29–31 | 382 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | 5% | 6% |
Morning Consult[1557] | May 16–25 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult[1557] | May 6–15 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1603] | May 10–14 | 875 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 48% | - | - | 3%[abj] | 10% |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)[1604] | May 6–8 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
Marquette Law School[1597] | May 3–7 | 650 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4%[abk] | 2% |
Morning Consult[1557] | Apr 26 – May 5 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling[1605][DX] | Apr 20–21 | 1,415 (RV) | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos[1606] | Apr 15–20 | 645 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)[1607] | Apr 13–15 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Hart Research/CAP Action[1608][DY] | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
Marquette Law School[1609] | Mar 24–29 | 813 (RV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 4%[abk] | 3% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes[1610] | Mar 17–25 | 822 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research[1611] | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | - | – | 6% | |
Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)[1612] | Mar 17–19 | 600 (RV) | – | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling[1613] | Mar 10–11 | 1,727 (RV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News[1614] | Mar 6–8 | 459 (RV) | – | 42% | 44% | - | - | 6%[abl] | 7% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[1615] | Mar 5–7 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Marquette Law School[1616] | Feb 19–23 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5%[abm] | 3% |
YouGov[1617] | Feb 11–20 | 936 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University[1618] | Feb 12–18 | 823 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 42% | - | - | 4%[abn] | 4% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute[1619] | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
Tarrance Group/Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce[1620] | Jan 14–16 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Marquette Law School[1621][1622][1623] | Jan 8–12 | 701 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 4%[abk] | 2% |
Fox News[1624] | Jan 5–8 | 1,504 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8%[abo] | 4% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[1625] | November 3, 2020 | 30.8% | 62.3% | 6.9% | Trump +31.5 |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[abp] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1626] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 7% | 66%[abq] | 33% | – | – | – |
University of Wyoming[1627] | Oct 8–28, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 59% | 31% | 5% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1626] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 739 (LV) | – | 68% | 31% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1626] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 236 (LV) | – | 65% | 34% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1626] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 211 (LV) | – | 74% | 25% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1626] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 246 (LV) | – | 70% | 28% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios[1626] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 98 (LV) | – | 78% | 22% | – | – | 0% |
General footnotes
Partisan clients
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link){{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link){{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)